La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc14bb7d18e3f4ccbcc0dbc4d289bc36a060ddfd3166cd38e982d1aff1f0b186c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Under | 10c | 40,200$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 78c | 4,251$3,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.26 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 22c | 4,199$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.79 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 75c | 2,047$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.89 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 72cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 942.71$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.15 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 73c | 819.99$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6481…b1bfbacked Over | 75c | 686.44$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.14 | 81 | 70.4%57 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 550$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 130 | 70.8%92 W · 38 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 78c | 433.01$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.26 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 28c | 388.73$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Under | 26c | 299.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 20c | 260$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 73c | 217$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 11c | 183.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +12.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 69c | 178.6$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 74c | 156.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 140.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d43…fc99backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 136 | 68.4%93 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb4…68c3backed Over | 76c | 129.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 30 | 83.3%25 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 27c | 104.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 97.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 38c | 80$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…e5bebacked Under | 21c | 69.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…5712backed Over | 76c | 68.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 23c | 67.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 50 | 72%36 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 73c | 64.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -11.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd520…09a1backed Over | 73c | 30.22$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…a082backed Over | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Over | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 65c | 23.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 147 | 38.8%57 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.