La Liga · resolved market

Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bfb8184f56f40870370173eeed9cef1b6717599afe7a3d259ef8240a6d76c50

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 8, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,938
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $38,615

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,938 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	54c	12,632$6,863 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,769.38	4,753	47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L	-21.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	58c	4,444$2,597 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.87	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over	45c	4,385$1,965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,965.29	265	50.9%135 W · 130 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	45c	3,999$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,799.55	304	46.7%142 W · 162 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	55c	3,980$2,184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.72	2,347	48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	47c	2,400$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	47c	2,209$1,038 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,038.35	219	57.5%126 W · 93 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	57c	1,754$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$754.39	46	45.7%21 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	31c	1,613$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-6.9wins	-0.25per pick	39cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Under	38c	1,600$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.17	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.19per pick	52cpaid	+41%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd65…3e60backed Over	73c	1,379$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	139	58.3%81 W · 58 L	+6.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over	40c	1,249$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.6	138	24.6%34 W · 104 L	-6.8wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	39c	1,249$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$762.51	1,421	45.7%649 W · 772 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over	45c	1,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over	48c	983.32$472 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$471.99	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Over	45c	888.89$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	47c	640$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.8	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over	34c	577$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.18	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	47c	240$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.8	197	50.3%99 W · 98 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	47c	240$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.8	317	51.1%162 W · 155 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Over	45c	219.86$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over	48c	208.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	18c	206$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.13	849	39.7%337 W · 512 L	-21.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	290	53.4%155 W · 135 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	218	49.1%107 W · 111 L	-7.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Over	47c	189.36$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	14	50%7 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1318…6ebcbacked Under	71c	140.83$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.84	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	51c	135.98$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	425	58.4%248 W · 177 L	+31.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	46c	120.57$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.46	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	53c	107.66$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.77	1,662	43.7%727 W · 935 L	-23.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	28c	106.79$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	387	48.1%186 W · 201 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over	48c	106.7$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.71	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93b1…be45backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	59c	100$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	210	51.9%109 W · 101 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	188	53.2%100 W · 88 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	202	50.5%102 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	196	52%102 W · 94 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	199	51.8%103 W · 96 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	209	49.8%104 W · 105 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over	47c	96$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.12	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over	18c	93$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.74	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under	56c	89.29$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.29	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over	45c	86.67$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	117	41.9%49 W · 68 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over	47c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.6	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…dc32backed Over	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed Over	46c	69.03$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.75	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	46c	66.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.43	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	46c	65.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over	44c	62.93$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	147	38.8%57 W · 90 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	52c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	351	48.4%170 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	47c	57.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	141	57.4%81 W · 60 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over	47c	53.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+6.0wins	+0.18per pick	44cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaec8…719cbacked Under	55c	52.73$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over	49c	51.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	174	58.6%102 W · 72 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	77	49.4%38 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over	41c	48.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	160	40%64 W · 96 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over	47c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	211	51.7%109 W · 102 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over	47c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	185	51.9%96 W · 89 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd520…09a1backed Over	46c	47.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.24per pick	64cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	124	45.2%56 W · 68 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under	48c	43.31$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.31	572	52.1%298 W · 274 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Over	46c	43.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Over	45c	43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc647…2f03backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	54c	42.23$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.82	100	39%39 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6af2…8f5ebacked Over	39c	40.94$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	200	54.5%109 W · 91 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Over	47c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1864…3904backed Over	35c	40$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6614…e516backed Under	54c	35.66$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.4	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x450a…a7debacked Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	64cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d7d…9e2ebacked Over	47c	34.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.14	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.60per pick	60cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e72…390fbacked Over	47c	32.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Over	47c	32$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	191	55%105 W · 86 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd268…4537backed Under	54c	31.52$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+111.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Under	53c	31.37$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.65	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Under	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.76	64	40.6%26 W · 38 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed Over	49c	26.85$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.13	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over	46c	25.3$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.64	120	42.5%51 W · 69 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0f8…7155backed Under	54c	23.59$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5this page
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Girona FC won
Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Girona FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event