La Liga · resolved market
Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e8051037bb8b5fbd6ea99d319a91826f161a39a5b0819b7caf24ae92fbfc473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 4,652$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.32 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 49c | 985.28$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.89 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 53c | 943.28$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.28 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 705.69$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.24 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 54c | 669$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.27 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 54c | 529.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes | 51c | 511.06$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.42 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…505abacked Yes | 60c | 497.27$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 53c | 380$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…a45cbacked Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 61c | 316.39$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.39 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 37c | 299.88$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.92 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 54c | 185.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Yes | 28c | 179.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 31c | 162.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 79c | 157.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.18 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf799…3040backed No | 43c | 147.4$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 52c | 147.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.51 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes | 54c | 100.48$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked No | 48c | 82.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 46c | 76.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 421 | 58%244 W · 177 L | +29.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 46c | 59.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes | 54c | 46.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 42.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed Yes | 53c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 52c | 36.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…3c19backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 46c | 30.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 42c | 29.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117a…a264backed Yes | 61c | 27.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 63c | 25.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sevilla FC vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.