Ligue 1 · resolved market
Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe69c431b841cc73ef32b9df4685fa8f64176e758600eb3c69a9c5fd96360ef89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 16c | 1,526$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 1,466$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.17 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 63c | 792.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 486.79$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 61c | 478.47$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.6 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 303.55$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 68c | 181.85$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 38c | 132$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…bfaabacked Under | 42c | 123.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 42c | 85.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 39c | 80.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 57c | 71.49$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 40c | 65.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe285…5754backed Over | 64c | 47.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Over | 62c | 36.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 38c | 34.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Under | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 74c | 26.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b8…9e37backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 61c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Over | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 63c | 17.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Over | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 3.5Over won
- Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.