Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d9a31935b8a94ec5c7e907232d2e0f9406772f1f75a865816738abe20a9bf14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 9c | 9,161$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.97 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed Yes | 1c | 7,486$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Yes | 13c | 1,580$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 1,540$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.52 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 10c | 1,293$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…8b58backed Yes | 17c | 1,173$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked Yes | 10c | 939$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 19c | 874$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed Yes | 19c | 818$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes | 10c | 673$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 10c | 660$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 80c | 605$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 5c | 560$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…0511backed Yes | 19c | 499$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked Yes | 10c | 422$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d8…4c30backed Yes | 19c | 405$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 10c | 349$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 10c | 338$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 10c | 207$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1df…16c1backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…ff39backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 124.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed Yes | 10c | 121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2b…f025backed Yes | 10c | 116$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7485…d9f3backed Yes | 54c | 111.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Yes | 35c | 37.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…f8a6backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.