Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe6b1db7dfac63111e83b25c44b3cd5e4e9f2d6334052534b519f5daff665da9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,902$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 27c | 1,413$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.26 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 1,003$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.16 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 62c | 808.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.54 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 532.36$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.83 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8577…199abacked Over | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05f8…d87fbacked Over | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +154.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 34c | 500$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.85 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Over | 61c | 495.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…04b5backed Over | 36c | 487.32$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.38per pick | 49cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 27c | 364.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.63 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 337.71$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.58 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 60c | 131.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0d…7606backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 42c | 71.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 71c | 55.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +11.7wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 51c | 54.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 47.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 46.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Under | 37c | 36.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…2f03backed Over | 59c | 33.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…4757backed Under | 42c | 32.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 42c | 30.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8429…8e64backed Over | 57c | 29.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 60c | 29.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 47c | 28.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…4b6dbacked Over | 60c | 25.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…1823backed Over | 60c | 22.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Under | 65c | 21.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5Over won
- PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. FC Volendam: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.