La Liga · resolved market
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e3c4665ccd8fbe09f070e3b9ecbf686ba479ef596fba78516fd06f7350fd20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,451
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,451 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 22c | 5,557$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.2 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Under | 76c | 5,263$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.16 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 3,696$2,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.46 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 26c | 2,342$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.73 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 24c | 2,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.56 | 138 | 24.6%34 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 43c | 1,495$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.85 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 1,490$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.75 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Over | 23c | 999.6$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.91 | 113 | 33.6%38 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 77c | 925.08$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 75c | 866.67$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 855.19$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 66c | 752.16$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.32 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 75c | 640$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 75c | 519.57$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.89 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 19c | 496.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Over | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…c20dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f0…e0a7backed Under | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa47f…dfb1backed Over | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 428 | 51.4%220 W · 208 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 14c | 283.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 191 | 30.4%58 W · 133 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Over | 32c | 193.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.09 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 173.1$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7839…54cbbacked Under | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 23c | 157$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39bb…9e51backed Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f4…5107backed Under | 78c | 123.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked Under | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Over | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9d…dd29backed Over | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed Over | 25c | 77.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 25c | 77.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed Over | 23c | 67.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 26c | 63.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…807fbacked Under | 62c | 46.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 31c | 45.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed Over | 23c | 43.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 43.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…e66fbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 195 | 53.3%104 W · 91 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Under | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…9706backed Over | 51c | 39.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 43c | 34.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Under | 78c | 23.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 77c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…2d73backed Under | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5this page
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Deportivo Alavés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.