Premier League · resolved market
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2034227823f998f0028bafbe48f085429b3eb1e2646f3f4b49a065b9e5f31c58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Ham United FCof West Ham United FC, Sunderland AFC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked West Ham United FC | 21c | 66,297$13,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,374.94 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 63,771$50,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,417.34 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed West Ham United FC | 17c | 2,858$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,368.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…9ef0backed Sunderland AFC | 14c | 1,600$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked West Ham United FC | 35c | 668.75$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Sunderland AFC | 29c | 513$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked West Ham United FC | 71c | 504$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f20…eaf6backed West Ham United FC | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed West Ham United FC | 20c | 344$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed West Ham United FC | 18c | 305.56$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Sunderland AFC | 31c | 302.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x385e…3896backed West Ham United FC | 17c | 290.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.49 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Sunderland AFC | 66c | 229.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed West Ham United FC | 18c | 201.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.41 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9184…6048backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 200.96$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Sunderland AFC | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…5331backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 173.91$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked West Ham United FC | 34c | 145.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sunderland AFC | 34c | 144.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 892 | 52.9%472 W · 420 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Sunderland AFC | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked West Ham United FC | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Sunderland AFC | 37c | 121.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Sunderland AFC | 14c | 114.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Sunderland AFC | 53c | 111.13$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked West Ham United FC | 59c | 103.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…66c7backed West Ham United FC | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…0da7backed Sunderland AFC | 25c | 98.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked West Ham United FC | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a0…20dabacked Sunderland AFC | 28c | 89.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked West Ham United FC | 18c | 81.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 247 | 20.2%50 W · 197 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Sunderland AFC | 42c | 69.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed West Ham United FC | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Sunderland AFC | 30c | 61.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked West Ham United FC | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed West Ham United FC | 34c | 56.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Sunderland AFC | 79c | 55.28$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Sunderland AFC | 76c | 49.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked Sunderland AFC | 51c | 49.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed West Ham United FC | 35c | 46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed West Ham United FC | 66c | 43.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 762 | 41.9%319 W · 443 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Sunderland AFC | 57c | 39.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed West Ham United FC | 67c | 36.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8993…222dbacked Sunderland AFC | 45c | 33.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…0363backed Sunderland AFC | 68c | 29.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…b7fdbacked Sunderland AFC | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sunderland AFC | 68c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…2cfbbacked Sunderland AFC | 55c | 22.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…2ae7backed Sunderland AFC | 62c | 21.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Sunderland AFC | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Sunderland AFC | 69c | 14.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)this page
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.