Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0970aa49d95755205aad997af3c0c2b917a14ecd63b5b0098a66f622285e4eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 4,661$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 27c | 4,401$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.32 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 72c | 3,042$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.72 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 73c | 2,100$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 1,846$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.86 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…ae7bbacked Over | 72c | 1,667$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Over | 71c | 1,217$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.93 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef2…50e0backed Over | 72c | 792.38$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 75cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 27c | 769.44$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.75 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 72c | 555.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 73c | 404$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 73c | 363.01$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…c195backed Under | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 72c | 301.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 233 | 53.6%125 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea0…8f49backed Over | 71c | 233.34$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Over | 73c | 226.62$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e2…69dabacked Over | 72c | 177.78$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…0ea9backed Over | 72c | 160.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…2b44backed Under | 28c | 137.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 73c | 137.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Under | 28c | 113.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Under | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 29c | 72.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Under | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed Over | 72c | 52.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed Over | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c2…6784backed Over | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…66f4backed Over | 74c | 44.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Under | 29c | 39.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 29c | 37.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 72c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2588…6b3fbacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1459…b6c9backed Over | 72c | 24.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Over | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 360 | 36.1%130 W · 230 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2583…4250backed Over | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 71c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.