Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda820c59e03b0a5e544102a6aa688a060687ef77b0ac5832a3027238b0bbb983
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Under | 56c | 12,476$7,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,438.89 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 58c | 8,000$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.97 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 55cpaid | +55%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 38c | 7,286$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.29 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…efc7backed Under | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 4,739$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.18 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 2,821$1,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.4 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 9c | 1,118$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.99 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Under | 8c | 1,086$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.48 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 344 | 28.8%99 W · 245 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 51c | 805.1$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 11c | 800$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Under | 51c | 613.9$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.07 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Over | 34c | 499.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 42c | 479.52$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 62c | 473.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.88 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 34c | 441.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Under | 55c | 441$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd816…84b9backed Over | 9c | 301.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…01eebacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 56c | 252.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…75cebacked Over | 55c | 229.09$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 32c | 199.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 63.2%96 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…4ac6backed Over | 42c | 185$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 29c | 172.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0b…1db9backed Over | 43c | 156.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 64c | 152.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…7ab1backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 130.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 50c | 129.66$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 117.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…9af5backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe565…01a4backed Over | 27c | 83.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 78c | 80.27$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 36c | 60.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df0…7eb8backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 53.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea51…83a0backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…cc89backed Over | 42c | 47.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 43c | 46.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf226…9c0fbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf121…6903backed Over | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 43c | 43.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Over | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x002f…6a4ebacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 232 | 20.7%48 W · 184 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Over | 42c | 39.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Over | 54c | 37.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f8…5bf4backed Over | 42c | 35.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Over | 42c | 35.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…862ebacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…6f44backed Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 43c | 30.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 44c | 25.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Over | 54c | 25.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…5857backed Over | 43c | 25.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Over | 53c | 24.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd6…686fbacked Over | 42c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…4a99backed Over | 63c | 23.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Over | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6f…e57cbacked Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)West Ham United FC won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- West Ham United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.