TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9da9…2ae7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
36
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tienbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.2%+$3.62
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruudbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+50%+$6.01
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+59.7%+$6.52
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+40.5%+$4.78
Australian Open Men's: Daniil Medvedev vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.1%+$12.37
Australian Open Men's: Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderibacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.84
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.72
Australian Open Men's: Francisco Cerundolo vs Andrey Rublevbacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+66.3%+$9.32
Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+243%+$25.02
Australian Open Men's: Frances Tiafoe vs Francisco Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.22
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+45.2%+$6.86
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA (BO3) - IEM Rio: Americas Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+113.4%+$12.13
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+34.9%+$6.69
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+51.2%+$6.56
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+44.3%+$8.78
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+50.3%+$9.4
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+43.3%+$4.5
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs K27 (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+47.9%+$6.82
All 8 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+88.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$21.93
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+25.3%+$3.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+90.4%+$13.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+89.8%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on March 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.