Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x551997d46b8beb29dfe3a79747f147702a3aa0e9f3aba7d730f7c24e43245b88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minaurof Bublik, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,182,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,197,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,182,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c80…02c3backed Bublik | 35c | 625,573$218,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218,665.58 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Minaur | 60c | 110,114$66,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,580.15 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Minaur | 61c | 100,000$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,000 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +25%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…5fbfbacked Minaur | 60c | 96,667$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,666.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 61c | 53,941$32,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,260.47 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Minaur | 59c | 43,905$25,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,152.46 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minaur | 60c | 43,862$26,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,566.33 | 1,193 | 48.9%583 W · 610 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Minaur | 63c | 33,053$20,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,343.48 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Bublik | 19c | 24,853$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.85 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Minaur | 58c | 22,238$12,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,333.04 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Minaur | 60c | 21,000$12,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Bublik | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,400 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…d3febacked Minaur | 58c | 20,000$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Minaur | 60c | 17,500$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e6…2f0fbacked Bublik | 16c | 16,343$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.11 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Minaur | 58c | 16,000$9,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,780 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf81…80cebacked Bublik | 13c | 15,505$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bublik | 37c | 13,371$4,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,992.23 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minaur | 69c | 13,321$9,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,130.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Bublik | 29c | 12,754$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.87 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Minaur | 60c | 12,730$7,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Bublik | 41c | 12,000$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.97 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…02aabacked Bublik | 39c | 11,712$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Minaur | 58c | 10,000$5,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +192.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x266b…8da2backed Bublik | 22c | 9,020$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Bublik | 41c | 8,300$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.97 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Minaur | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Minaur | 60c | 7,500$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bublik | 39c | 7,443$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.81 | 254 | 28%71 W · 183 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bublik | 18c | 7,364$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.78 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Bublik | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.11 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Minaur | 59c | 7,300$4,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,028.98 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Minaur | 58c | 6,717$3,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,791.27 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Bublik | 40c | 6,448$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.22 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed Minaur | 60c | 6,345$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.44 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…9654backed Minaur | 60c | 6,200$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ef…2a2dbacked Bublik | 40c | 6,200$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8758…01e0backed Minaur | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Bublik | 41c | 6,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Bublik | 6c | 5,119$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.95 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Minaur | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Minaur | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…2a9cbacked Bublik | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 352 | 47.2%166 W · 186 L | -23.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a9…35fcbacked Bublik | 42c | 5,000$2,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,102 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Bublik | 40c | 4,580$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.08 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Bublik | 14c | 3,857$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Bublik | 41c | 3,650$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.49 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed Minaur | 60c | 3,500$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bublik | 16c | 3,326$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.06 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…86bebacked Bublik | 20c | 3,196$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.65 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f6…adc3backed Bublik | 42c | 3,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…126cbacked Minaur | 70c | 2,846$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.53 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minaur | 59c | 2,840$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.85 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Bublik | 38c | 2,810$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.81 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Bublik | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Minaur | 59c | 2,698$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.74 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bublik | 41c | 2,635$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.38 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…e888backed Bublik | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Minaur | 59c | 2,584$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.8 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Minaur | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed Minaur | 77c | 2,500$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Minaur | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Bublik | 6c | 2,499$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Bublik | 40c | 2,472$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2073…385bbacked Bublik | 41c | 2,439$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8601…88d2backed Bublik | 42c | 2,405$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Bublik | 41c | 2,300$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur | 59c | 2,244$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.6 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Bublik | 42c | 2,096$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.32 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac53…6133backed Minaur | 59c | 2,042$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.69 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Minaur | 65c | 2,001$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.53 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Minaur | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 441 | 63.7%281 W · 160 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…14f4backed Minaur | 61c | 1,928$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.98 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Bublik | 39c | 1,914$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…c83bbacked Bublik | 20c | 1,905$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.45 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Bublik | 40c | 1,700$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5067…a127backed Minaur | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a8…0e31backed Minaur | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Minaur | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Minaur | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…fe32backed Bublik | 41c | 1,551$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…1ab3backed Minaur | 61c | 1,551$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed Minaur | 61c | 1,546$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Bublik | 11c | 1,500$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.72 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Bublik | 41c | 1,500$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…432cbacked Bublik | 37c | 1,452$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.31 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa4…dbc5backed Bublik | 41c | 1,344$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.24 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Bublik | 38c | 1,303$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Minaur | 76c | 1,302$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Bublik | 7c | 1,278$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.98 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…5344backed Minaur | 60c | 1,267$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Minaur | 76c | 1,231$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.28 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Bublik | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Bublik | 41c | 1,208$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Minaur | 60c | 1,167$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Bublik | 28c | 1,111$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.57 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Bublik | 41c | 1,098$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 239 | 45.6%109 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minaur | 58c | 1,086$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.12 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Minaur | 69c | 1,057$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…7d66backed Bublik | 40c | 1,040$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Bublik vs. Minaur: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Bublik vs. Minaur: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs MinaurMinaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Minaur won
- Set Handicap: Minaur (-2.5) vs Bublik (+2.5)Minaur won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.