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Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Xinyu Wang vs Jelena Ostapenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wangof Wang, Ostapenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,290
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,704

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,290 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Wang62c9,874$6,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,742.511,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Ostapenko40c4,343$1,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,739.141,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Wang58c4,048$2,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,700.8227163.8%173 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d76…9168backed Ostapenko42c3,500$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47037540.8%153 W · 222 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Ostapenko47c3,100$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.779541.1%39 W · 56 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wang56c2,353$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.787,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8758…01e0backed Ostapenko43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Wang58c1,804$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.679242.4%39 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Ostapenko42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75673953.2%393 W · 346 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Wang59c1,772$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.835950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Ostapenko27c1,422$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.631,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Wang58c1,379$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3124448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Wang36c1,277$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8232,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Ostapenko45c1,274$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.922,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ostapenko46c1,224$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.163,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wang53c1,124$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.588,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a89…196fbacked Wang56c985.83$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.083956.4%22 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Ostapenko42c860$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.281047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Ostapenko42c619.05$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26011060.9%67 W · 43 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ostapenko45c597$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.711,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Ostapenko65c451.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5210059%59 W · 41 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Wang57c444$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9222344.8%100 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Ostapenko17c386.55$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.372,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wang33c357.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.672,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Ostapenko47c329$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.229744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Ostapenko32c324.41$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1117432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Ostapenko33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc88d…1da9backed Wang57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1297934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Ostapenko42c277.86$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.77664.5%49 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb327…0fccbacked Ostapenko41c241.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Ostapenko43c237.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10251849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Wang50c215.47$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9422236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Ostapenko41c199.99$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Wang48c193.68$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.872,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c79…8b69backed Wang57c176.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.166150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ostapenko35c170.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.874,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…6ad7backed Wang58c150.76$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.327537.3%28 W · 47 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Ostapenko33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.612846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Ostapenko56c120$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.91,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x956a…b3dabacked Ostapenko29c118.87$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.012055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d0…27d9backed Wang29c118.16$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.912433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Wang55c115.43$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.814947.7%71 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e9…1587backed Wang73c106.52$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6410462.5%65 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ad…8c85backed Ostapenko45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Ostapenko35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5bb…7466backed Wang57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Wang58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4218863.8%120 W · 68 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Wang56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.298964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc391…6cc8backed Ostapenko48c87.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.075149%25 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc8…4d6fbacked Wang23c86.96$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.961323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Wang58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2118957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Wang58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.216055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Wang66c76.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.142268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Ostapenko69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Wang49c71.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.241650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Ostapenko27c66.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc5…7b98backed Ostapenko45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306269.4%43 W · 19 L+6.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+14.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebd1…4ac6backed Wang60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…5298backed Wang60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Ostapenko67c65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7165647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Ostapenko42c64.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2728754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed Wang56c63.87$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.316144.7%72 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c5b…99d0backed Wang25c56.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.43728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wang26c55.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.0519023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Ostapenko54c55.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Wang19c54.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.435856.9%33 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Wang65c53.63$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7721949.3%108 W · 111 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Ostapenko76c51.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.69653.1%51 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ostapenko44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8985…2e25backed Ostapenko43c49.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.251421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Wang57c49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0790164.4%580 W · 321 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed9…3cdebacked Wang69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.481330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x395c…494bbacked Wang58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.11942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d4…9676backed Ostapenko44c42.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e3d…13f0backed Wang77c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.28100%8 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe759…3648backed Ostapenko33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.115551.6%80 W · 75 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe61…4c28backed Wang75c39.74$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…a505backed Wang42c35.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da9…2ae7backed Wang29c35.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.021070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+28.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Wang58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4894060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x830e…341dbacked Wang59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa7…3e32backed Wang59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+89.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…391dbacked Wang59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcaf…0ff5backed Wang59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5afe…e9ccbacked Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b5e…0d40backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+183.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…bdc6backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa177…aed4backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+191.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…20c3backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ec…6d6dbacked Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5815…ed96backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a14…fab6backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62c5…db69backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5df…8bf2backed Wang60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+88.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Ostapenko47c32.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1411122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf395…ac0abacked Ostapenko37c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.142755.6%15 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6387…9d9bbacked Ostapenko42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.63852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da3…9f2cbacked Ostapenko38c29.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x284e…ddb2backed Ostapenko65c28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.214835.4%17 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa660…f81abacked Wang77c26.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.081675%12 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.