TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Heroic, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,481
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$583,905

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,481 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 338 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56fc…733ebacked Heroic38c40,838$15,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,476.383154.8%17 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Heroic17c30,000$5,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.397943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA73c23,073$16,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,265.373,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA72c18,886$13,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,232.5339249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked FURIA55c18,160$9,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,171.9313633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA73c15,943$11,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.431,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA66c15,732$10,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2894,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Heroic19c14,135$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.5759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic39c10,156$3,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.3681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed Heroic16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9957647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked FURIA78c9,327$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,037.722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Heroic15c8,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20050833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa7…1ad7backed Heroic17c7,953$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3471020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Heroic21c6,000$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.8597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked FURIA56c5,724$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,518.4332548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Heroic15c5,670$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850.547238.9%28 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic22c5,412$1,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200.993,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Heroic15c5,067$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9920539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed FURIA67c5,044$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.8234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked Heroic39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9915050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Heroic0c4,021$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.021,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Heroic16c3,927$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3628453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed Heroic18c3,712$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.999234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA80c3,522$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.31,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Heroic15c3,473$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0946243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8287…059ebacked Heroic16c3,404$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.885853.4%31 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed FURIA57c3,312$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.221861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x429d…6f04backed Heroic16c3,231$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Heroic16c2,978$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.931,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Heroic15c2,833$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.9539239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22c5…1bdabacked Heroic24c2,800$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6725018%9 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b0…4f5cbacked Heroic26c2,746$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.748736.8%32 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Heroic38c2,602$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3d…7011backed FURIA77c2,589$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.56850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked Heroic16c2,500$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3956237.1%23 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49a…9aa4backed Heroic41c2,461$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Heroic23c2,400$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Heroic22c2,357$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.4660147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa10…3fc9backed Heroic3c2,339$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.272711.1%3 W · 24 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-73.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Heroic9c2,327$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.898416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed FURIA76c2,317$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7238868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Heroic33c2,066$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.286953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic38c2,030$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.9798052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked FURIA50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic21c1,662$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.692,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FURIA63c1,644$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.4175245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04c2…68b1backed Heroic16c1,618$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2653933.3%13 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed Heroic25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic26c1,500$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed FURIA74c1,500$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Heroic7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10512021.7%26 W · 94 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked FURIA60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Heroic43c1,500$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.9911547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Heroic36c1,476$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.586637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Heroic15c1,434$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.13060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Heroic15c1,393$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2094330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic36c1,358$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.842,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0238…ba26backed Heroic16c1,351$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.16922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Heroic26c1,339$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.596545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…9ff4backed Heroic15c1,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed FURIA56c1,300$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5723240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Heroic44c1,292$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.2814332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Heroic11c1,250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.4866034.1%225 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked FURIA76c1,223$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.4226553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic37c1,211$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.271,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e84fbacked Heroic37c1,200$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.595827.6%16 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed FURIA55c1,200$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54013144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Heroic14c1,169$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.6111633.6%39 W · 77 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA79c1,133$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.462,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed FURIA55c1,085$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6915743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Heroic18c1,084$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.315,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Heroic19c1,037$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.953844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed FURIA60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008267.1%55 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb855…3332backed Heroic22c883.56$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.779832.7%32 W · 66 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Heroic24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cf…0cc7backed Heroic24c833.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-44%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed Heroic18c794.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1455352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA73c785.5$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked FURIA78c749.99$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16515441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a7a…7181backed Heroic28c746.28$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.553138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Heroic27c740.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe20…c8fabacked Heroic45c726$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.74949%24 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked FURIA68c718.99$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Heroic44c703.18$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.064734%16 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98f6…79d2backed FURIA57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.7537752%196 W · 181 L+1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA76c654.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4360248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Heroic28c643.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Heroic45c622.42$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Heroic16c608.43$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Heroic16c600$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x033e…1bb9backed Heroic50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020050.5%101 W · 99 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc6…d58abacked Heroic16c584.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic23c579.75$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5147…a0b7backed Heroic16c562.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9011732.5%38 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Heroic20c551.82$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5260848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Heroic46c541.91$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24953545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked FURIA63c529.91$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.264254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Heroic22c519.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.312344.7%55 W · 68 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed FURIA76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1205244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Heroic21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10524649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.