CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x098f2f09a591cc454064ecdf3712ded02cbe42c27305ca7daf75ce50bcd4eec7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Heroic, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked FURIA | 74c | 4,542$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.08 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA | 78c | 4,307$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.22 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Heroic | 23c | 3,512$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Heroic | 25c | 3,023$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 78c | 2,971$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.49 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA | 76c | 2,739$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.81 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Heroic | 24c | 1,796$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.07 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic | 22c | 1,750$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Heroic | 21c | 1,702$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.32 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA | 70c | 1,591$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.84 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed FURIA | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31b…241bbacked Heroic | 11c | 1,298$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.96 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed FURIA | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Heroic | 29c | 1,100$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.57 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Heroic | 14c | 1,095$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked Heroic | 28c | 1,085$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Heroic | 30c | 1,058$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Heroic | 32c | 924.78$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Heroic | 23c | 876.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Heroic | 25c | 830.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 71c | 750.09$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.44 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed FURIA | 76c | 700$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c5…1bdabacked Heroic | 14c | 700$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Heroic | 21c | 641.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked FURIA | 72c | 621.97$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.92 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed FURIA | 77c | 549.23$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…3862backed Heroic | 5c | 533.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 21c | 500$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Heroic | 25c | 459$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0588…8f18backed Heroic | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Heroic | 29c | 354.17$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Heroic | 27c | 343.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.6 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…ca90backed FURIA | 78c | 332.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked FURIA | 72c | 302.78$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked FURIA | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.8wins | +0.37per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Heroic | 29c | 259.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic | 28c | 200.68$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed Heroic | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 14c | 172.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic | 22c | 149.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Heroic | 26c | 140$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked FURIA | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42af…15f7backed Heroic | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Heroic | 23c | 111.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Heroic | 22c | 111.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d20…6568backed Heroic | 16c | 106.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked FURIA | 70c | 102.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed FURIA | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…a442backed Heroic | 30c | 92.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed FURIA | 76c | 87.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Heroic | 26c | 84.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 268 | 36.6%98 W · 170 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed FURIA | 78c | 84.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Heroic | 22c | 69.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked FURIA | 74c | 65.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868c…279dbacked Heroic | 31c | 53.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed Heroic | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…24b8backed Heroic | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab81…5d6abacked Heroic | 32c | 38.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Heroic | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FURIA | 79c | 36.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked FURIA | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed FURIA | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed FURIA | 78c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed FURIA | 72c | 25.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked FURIA | 79c | 22.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…becbbacked FURIA | 78c | 16.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…4da9backed FURIA | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3a…89dcbacked FURIA | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.