TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$94,363
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,363 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA40c16,654$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,698.53,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FURIA30c8,003$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,416.094,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed FURIA46c7,617$3,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,522.271,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Heroic60c7,217$4,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.736953.6%37 W · 32 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic63c6,893$4,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.753,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic59c6,366$3,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,640.691,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Heroic47c5,136$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,701.6860540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA11c3,289$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.6622927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked FURIA47c2,688$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.394944.9%22 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd928…7adebacked Heroic56c2,501$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.31475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Heroic75c2,007$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.842,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed FURIA52c1,986$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,025.3234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA34c1,962$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.682,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Heroic29c1,499$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.2661228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Heroic67c1,435$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.9739468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22c5…1bdabacked FURIA34c1,400$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.565018%9 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb29…ea29backed Heroic60c1,341$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.116637.9%25 W · 41 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed FURIA58c1,201$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.1841850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Heroic55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45011452.6%60 W · 54 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61058651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed FURIA32c926.39$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.4231954.5%174 W · 145 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x888a…ef47backed FURIA77c880.67$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6764443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked FURIA39c821.03$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.3211630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Heroic55c757.25$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.7622554.2%122 W · 103 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Heroic23c689.38$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.8223932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Heroic30c676.67$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.678537.6%32 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Heroic58c664.84$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5341960.9%255 W · 164 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Heroic50c600$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29932352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x757d…1496backed Heroic48c590$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.624649.6%122 W · 124 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed FURIA32c401.77$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.746328.6%18 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Heroic26c394$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6860848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x595b…c9d0backed Heroic76c379.24$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.323857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed FURIA18c350$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.224440.2%98 W · 146 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ce…418cbacked FURIA28c327.78$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked FURIA74c305.18$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4645162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa3…0915backed Heroic30c267.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.254955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA48c259$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.471,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b72…6dbebacked FURIA43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.55738.6%22 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb55f…5705backed FURIA12c249.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30605%3 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-44.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3290…d1ffbacked FURIA15c240$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed FURIA56c239.33$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.447255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA46c238.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.121042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc954…642fbacked FURIA71c224$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0426553.2%141 W · 124 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…3862backed FURIA25c217.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.161838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked FURIA47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018250%91 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked FURIA47c210.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8753545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Heroic47c209.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2950043%215 W · 285 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b4f…a442backed Heroic26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1482263.6%14 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+49.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Heroic30c200$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14022550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Heroic28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.571,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…c855backed FURIA55c170.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.671241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-43.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked FURIA47c168.74$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.0629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed FURIA38c161.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4120243.6%88 W · 114 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Heroic62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2966162.6%414 W · 247 L+29.2wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed FURIA46c160.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3219843.9%87 W · 111 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked FURIA64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c78…f9bcbacked FURIA64c144.18$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Heroic28c143.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0415255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0be2…d514backed Heroic58c133.95$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5622349.8%111 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Heroic57c128.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2822931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…180bbacked FURIA31c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.321752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed Heroic54c117.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3663541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4de…00b4backed FURIA27c110.89$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308457.1%48 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05dd…305cbacked Heroic30c108.12$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.826145.9%28 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Heroic48c108.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2644743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Heroic29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.454546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked FURIA13c102.7$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.557428.4%21 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Heroic59c102.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.036861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd0…389fbacked FURIA76c100.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed FURIA47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f47…fc05backed FURIA24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243237.5%12 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf71a…fa40backed FURIA37c99.8$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.94429.5%13 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Heroic26c89.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5931931.7%101 W · 218 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed FURIA28c89.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.542845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Heroic58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2155232.4%179 W · 373 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebec…f38dbacked Heroic58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA52c79.58$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3864652.8%341 W · 305 L+26.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed FURIA19c70$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113740.9%56 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac18…6f88backed FURIA40c69.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.731625%4 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e21…4dccbacked FURIA42c66.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.586459.4%38 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed FURIA25c64.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.837647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked Heroic30c64.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.855347.2%25 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37ea…6cb9backed FURIA43c63.21$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.881145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ad…22b8backed FURIA33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked Heroic30c56.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.673237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78ba…17c7backed FURIA71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabc8…fd71backed Heroic26c53.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.796558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FURIA32c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6433949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed FURIA25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.62748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x628e…1d80backed FURIA29c47.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.813161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ddf…c9a6backed FURIA64c43.75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282339.1%9 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick60cpaid-36.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5959…4c4cbacked FURIA74c41.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.91450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA46c41.3$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1926836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f8…5486backed FURIA56c40.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0d0…ee5abacked FURIA55c40.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.194012.5%5 W · 35 L-9.7wins-0.24per pick37cpaid-70.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0719…c6b9backed FURIA35c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144344.2%19 W · 24 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+39.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked FURIA53c39.43$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.970423.9%168 W · 536 L+2.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f28…addbbacked Heroic75c38.43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.611145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61da…dc20backed FURIA67c37.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x890a…093cbacked Heroic75c34.67$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.