Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a12a646bf98d735c4e235523da21915a5d0eabb65e936eca48fd1ba70e17800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,359 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Yes | 67c | 9,972$6,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 7,280$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.77 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 3,589$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.33 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 1,847$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 1,682$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.15 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 15c | 1,582$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.24 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 80c | 1,460$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.58 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 22c | 1,249$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 62c | 527.65$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.73 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 33c | 420.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 385.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.85 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked No | 33c | 382.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 76c | 329$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 65c | 306.14$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 62c | 280$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 35c | 228.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 184.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 34c | 177.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 36c | 105$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 33c | 104.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 35c | 103.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 66c | 88.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 33c | 81.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 37c | 80.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed No | 37c | 73.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 63c | 72.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 37c | 65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 35c | 64.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 38c | 61.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed No | 34c | 56.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 28c | 50.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 216 | 44.4%96 W · 120 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 33c | 45.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked Yes | 67c | 43.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 68c | 43.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 33c | 40.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 37c | 37.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 36c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7564…ae81backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701a…2cfbbacked Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba6…2a7ebacked No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yes | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 68c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.