La Liga · resolved market
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b6585ddfffd5f1f2d1bdb67fd1980a2bb066336dfae51da8c3dbd64e3bbee9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 59c | 55,444$32,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,961.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 17,674$6,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,556.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 59c | 15,975$9,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,549.74 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 41c | 15,010$6,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,204 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 59c | 14,820$8,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,076.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Yes | 40c | 13,923$5,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,556.54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 33c | 12,637$4,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.38 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Yes | 43c | 12,301$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.68 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 41c | 10,162$4,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,147.17 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,901.15 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.87 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 42c | 8,945$3,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,756.86 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 61c | 8,870$5,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.3 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked No | 60c | 8,055$4,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220.3 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a43…565fbacked Yes | 41c | 7,259$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e0c1backed Yes | 29c | 6,032$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Yes | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 4,857$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.53 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 62c | 4,588$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.61 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…a67ebacked Yes | 41c | 4,411$1,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 62c | 3,297$2,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.89 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 35c | 3,294$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.91 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 61c | 3,279$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.38 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 3,230$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.44 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 39c | 2,685$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.04 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,459$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.69 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa566…72debacked Yes | 41c | 2,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.67 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 64c | 2,400$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28d4…f810backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.98 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 62c | 1,833$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.36 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 43c | 1,605$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.37 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Yes | 43c | 1,604$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 35c | 1,486$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 65c | 1,407$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 18c | 1,366$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 1,320$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.06 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 36c | 1,254$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,126$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.5 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,120$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 1,025$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,011$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.96 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 66c | 1,008$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 68c | 992.26$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 17c | 823.53$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 29c | 771.14$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed No | 67c | 750$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 237 | 62.9%149 W · 88 L | +21.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 16c | 679.67$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 60c | 640$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 67c | 601.48$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed No | 64c | 590$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.2 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 64c | 580.73$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.06 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Yes | 39c | 446.62$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x65b6…8b4cbacked Yes | 35c | 400.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 69c | 400$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 39c | 376.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9530…8344backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +356.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…8dccbacked Yes | 20c | 360.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e8…a34cbacked No | 66c | 351.48$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 66c | 345.94$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b36…096fbacked Yes | 35c | 344.21$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 59c | 329.76$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 35c | 314.26$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 60c | 312.7$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 307.53$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 56c | 305.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -48%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 33c | 301.48$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked No | 61c | 300$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Yes | 34c | 298.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1b…c496backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 39c | 273.31$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.59 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 35c | 273.26$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1c…d7e5backed Yes | 40c | 263.91$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0b…0eb7backed Yes | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 26c | 258$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50f…4034backed Yes | 42c | 256.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 8c | 255$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 64c | 240$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 60c | 240$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 317 | 51.1%162 W · 155 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…a1c7backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…1ac3backed Yes | 43c | 231.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0bc…b904backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 219.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 65c | 211.75$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-04?this page
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?Yes won
- Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.