TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,894
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,894 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked No67c3,635$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2141,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Yes31c2,600$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8068243.9%36 W · 46 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed No70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6603158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes73c1,625$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.9211159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes43c1,581$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.784,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Yes50c1,208$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.28450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No23c1,131$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.793641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes30c1,120$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3365337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes31c1,027$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No36c987.07$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.1560147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No52c922.14$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.2329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c842.71$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.742,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c816.24$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.1448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No30c750$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5257024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes31c699.95$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.985046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e5…9401backed Yes45c654.91$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.71812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick33cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes30c647$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.16839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No42c599.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed07…886abacked No66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1701353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No68c471.89$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed No45c447.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.86850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No71c443.69$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.821668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No69c418.38$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.415443.5%67 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No69c409$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7923250.4%117 W · 115 L+11.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c406.25$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13014427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes31c371.9$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.291533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes32c302$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.648229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1842…b628backed Yes55c295$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.81338.5%5 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick70cpaid-40.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No62c276.44$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0511851.7%61 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes44c270.08$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.641770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+61.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.51,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes31c250$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.589050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked No43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5612650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No57c224$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3215442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa451…b40dbacked Yes74c223.75$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No27c200$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14735145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6415832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed No11c200$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1781346.2%6 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick12cpaid+330.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502176.2%16 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+73%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes14c196.15$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c167.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.753,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes79c157.5$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1255742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e42…35a8backed Yes28c155.04$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c145.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked No10c133.84$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.822552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+42.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…e374backed No63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.981040%4 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No22c123.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.638268.3%56 W · 26 L+14.7wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Yes41c121.54$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed No70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.326550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked No20c107.5$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.522553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe03d…4dfbbacked No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No52c104$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6237039.2%145 W · 225 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No69c103.37$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0430749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Yes38c102.63$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393040%12 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked No45c101.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2662744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed No66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b42…273bbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes30c99.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed No27c98.32$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5919544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c95$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ea…52dbbacked Yes31c92.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.615034%17 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes77c80$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.26250%31 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked No32c79.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.571526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No57c79$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9515444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes25c75.72$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9383939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes31c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2522638.5%87 W · 139 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0383…7034backed Yes44c75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No41c73.36$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.357252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555f…7782backed No75c72$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182382.6%19 W · 4 L+5.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+52.5%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeaf9…d6f0backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba79…e944backed Yes68c65.45$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5614250.7%72 W · 70 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202548%12 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb910…ac48backed Yes32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfde…a13ebacked Yes39c63.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.28per pick66cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x765c…f214backed Yes32c61.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes25c60.93$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2322553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb9…2b21backed Yes25c59.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…8c3cbacked Yes32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…a9bebacked Yes32c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes70c56.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa996…e251backed Yes75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ef…e1ffbacked Yes32c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511546.1%53 W · 62 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…dbaebacked Yes68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36c4…550fbacked Yes32c49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes64c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.296342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b0d…53a5backed Yes44c49$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.56333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33b9…ed3abacked Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+102.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed No36c47.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.24744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e4…ebfbbacked Yes32c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd563…e225backed Yes32c45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes67c44.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed No69c44.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.846144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20a6…50eebacked Yes36c44.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes36c43.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5859655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes29c40.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.97911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.