TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3d8…700cbacked Yes36c32,244$11,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,636.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes32c16,580$5,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,274.5912553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x43d5…93f4backed No64c16,461$10,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,535.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…6acfbacked No64c15,788$10,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,104.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed No64c14,893$9,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,515.473458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes35c13,791$4,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,964.414845.8%22 W · 26 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+249.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed No72c10,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2003748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c8,727$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.0283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1660…5598backed Yes28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes65c4,795$3,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.388461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes35c4,688$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,028.0730634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No10c3,277$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0209851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes70c2,998$2,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.5211159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No69c2,609$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.461,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No72c2,396$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,725.1235148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed No65c2,327$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.942458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No80c2,239$1,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.913138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes80c2,131$1,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5574457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No72c1,972$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.979058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked No45c1,952$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$883.3360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes30c1,921$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.064,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No65c1,528$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.652828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x70af…26fdbacked Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.152857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes59c1,442$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.7515150.3%76 W · 75 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed No13c1,239$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.093641.7%15 W · 21 L+8.6wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+156.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No35c1,198$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.2761657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes33c1,145$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.621,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes37c1,081$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.083551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes35c1,057$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.3813845.7%63 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes29c1,046$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.8369142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Yes21c1,021$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.145742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004337.2%16 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No67c999.98$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.997851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked No77c999.11$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.311172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb4…48bebacked Yes25c964.19$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.671060%6 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+67.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No76c875.16$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.5448153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes52c859.63$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.6219662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e42…35a8backed No48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae47…eba4backed Yes37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.813040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes35c757$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.7826550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed No72c700$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb023…f142backed Yes34c699.98$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.995046%23 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes36c699.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.989751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9985…a45cbacked Yes29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.663342.4%14 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes15c660$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.8513824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked No43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581540%6 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+79.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Yes36c596.45$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.456728.4%19 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes37c581.08$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.085453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No63c572.18$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.476640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes23c565.22$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.2220148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes18c550$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4514843.8%21 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No79c522.57$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.522859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No46c508.63$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.769134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5a2…cff3backed Yes28c500$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4acf…a07fbacked Yes20c500$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed Yes24c479.63$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.964100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+138.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes21c476.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.192748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick34cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No65c466.1$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.448229.3%24 W · 58 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed No44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007241.7%30 W · 42 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No27c395.62$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7415444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c76…a1b5backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4429…efc2backed Yes80c376.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0931…8dccbacked Yes19c374.66$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.66650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Yes52c369.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.231050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e07…a6e7backed Yes36c360.86$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Yes22c360$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2804425%11 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No69c348.87$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.611,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes30c340$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23815940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes29c339.61$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.492,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked No65c338.46$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208254.9%45 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e6…0244backed Yes6c337.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.447431.1%23 W · 51 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No65c322.31$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.53548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ab…7954backed Yes34c312.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+192.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cff…15d1backed Yes28c300$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21622740.1%91 W · 136 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes25c300$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22510416.3%17 W · 87 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3510…2492backed Yes67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc02f…772abacked Yes25c284.28$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+187%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85a1…a640backed Yes36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.22272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+48.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes37c272.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.843060%18 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed No63c270.24$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.256553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No35c266.17$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.864938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes28c257.14$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.143450%17 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d8a…4d5fbacked Yes20c244.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.292254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes28c244$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.685650%28 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xacce…ce8abacked Yes11c240$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.63336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes37c232.86$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.74131.7%13 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No65c230.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa611…28f1backed No65c224.77$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes25c210$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.52944.8%13 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+55%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes32c208.91$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184528.9%13 W · 32 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1412…15d5backed No68c204.67$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10d…575cbacked Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a9…bc59backed Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13015832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Yes15c200$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1704146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e52…9078backed Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1624139%16 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Yes29c200$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1421450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed No64c199.99$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12842458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No72c194.44$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1405950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.