TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,155,229
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,403,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,155,229 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 484 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5877…d894backed PARIVISION32c124,019$39,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,332.677943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION51c109,792$56,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,459.7242440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA68c76,114$51,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51,960.8810551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FURIA47c64,923$30,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,517.013,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA70c50,000$34,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,799.9513954.7%76 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked PARIVISION57c43,857$25,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,784.583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…8250backed FURIA67c39,080$26,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,183.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked FURIA71c31,789$22,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,452.0222468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6adc…bebabacked PARIVISION33c30,240$9,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,260.7913633.1%45 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c38…1218backed PARIVISION31c29,884$9,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,718.857440.5%30 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FURIA46c24,853$11,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,483.9939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb76f…8536backed PARIVISION33c24,318$8,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,293.1875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+57.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c64…5e45backed FURIA0c24,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA68c19,633$13,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,374.0641649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION31c14,008$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,611.7924846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked PARIVISION32c13,712$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,315.9624440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed PARIVISION42c12,371$5,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,227.2233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c85…26cabacked FURIA39c12,260$4,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,781.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa643…d43dbacked PARIVISION30c12,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,399.992733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked FURIA39c11,287$4,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,378.392,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked PARIVISION29c10,345$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,344.8325751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION32c10,000$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.9867041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed FURIA70c9,596$6,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,717.0710850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA48c9,041$4,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,377.451,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed FURIA70c8,909$6,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,208.052040%8 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699f…c3a9backed PARIVISION30c8,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,833.333652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked PARIVISION31c7,873$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.6837859.5%225 W · 153 L+1.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b0…f139backed FURIA46c7,300$3,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3586651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed FURIA68c7,220$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,909.4510947.7%52 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…1667backed FURIA46c6,638$3,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,058.912650%13 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed FURIA68c6,615$4,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,524.0811758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc459…7b3fbacked PARIVISION32c6,225$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,233475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick28cpaid+132.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked PARIVISION36c6,001$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,822.231,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed PARIVISION31c5,678$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.8128453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed PARIVISION53c5,365$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,526.0817761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed PARIVISION29c5,236$1,518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,717.5612752%66 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed FURIA67c5,155$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.7721055.7%117 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked FURIA68c5,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40014144%62 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FURIA68c5,000$3,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,41022849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA70c5,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x538a…0823backed FURIA68c4,998$3,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,398.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed PARIVISION55c4,778$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.154862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed PARIVISION29c4,491$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,188.4626344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked PARIVISION32c4,478$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,050.3359839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA42c4,474$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,860.481,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked FURIA45c4,326$1,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,945.283652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed FURIA70c4,286$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00011252.7%59 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa558…1b44backed FURIA44c4,284$1,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.276432.8%21 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcec8…f1bdbacked FURIA64c4,218$2,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed PARIVISION56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9935153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked FURIA75c3,975$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,989.2118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed FURIA63c3,889$2,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,431.0616546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed FURIA68c3,812$2,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,592.419455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FURIA46c3,770$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.6553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION54c3,618$1,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.133,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb726…0664backed FURIA44c3,591$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,58012649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc972…eab1backed FURIA41c3,568$1,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA69c3,515$2,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,433.731,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x464e…1a67backed PARIVISION29c3,500$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4853053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked FURIA67c3,500$2,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34519757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked FURIA67c3,500$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9781244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked PARIVISION32c3,476$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.9465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed FURIA69c3,456$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,394.6855043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed FURIA44c3,308$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.937255.6%40 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ea7…b38abacked FURIA66c3,279$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked PARIVISION32c3,016$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,050.6311241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed FURIA43c3,000$1,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30212150.4%61 W · 60 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba27…1e9ebacked FURIA1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c6…1c37backed PARIVISION34c2,967$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,966.5211937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed FURIA66c2,587$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70040048.8%195 W · 205 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FURIA67c2,500$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.991,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA70c2,500$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,748.611,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10c…81d0backed PARIVISION47c2,484$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.83366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed PARIVISION49c2,467$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.4734156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed FURIA37c2,446$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.5461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19ff…d0d0backed PARIVISION33c2,424$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.249234.8%32 W · 60 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed PARIVISION17c2,370$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.483240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked FURIA44c2,316$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.522927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed FURIA68c2,296$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56118254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb63…a71dbacked PARIVISION30c2,259$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.515050.7%76 W · 74 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5019…74cdbacked PARIVISION34c2,235$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,470.6211630.2%35 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION31c2,195$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.5597040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION32c2,179$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.4935242.9%151 W · 201 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed PARIVISION34c2,150$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.1796545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed PARIVISION29c2,021$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.674330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed PARIVISION30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4001,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c61…c3c9backed PARIVISION31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3801050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed FURIA44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88018752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacc3…6682backed PARIVISION31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+133.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FURIA67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed FURIA32c1,988$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.9429851.3%153 W · 145 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed FURIA67c1,937$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,291.8619247.9%92 W · 100 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION30c1,886$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.221,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed PARIVISION33c1,818$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.1814532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed FURIA38c1,816$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.426949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3295…8975backed FURIA69c1,680$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.1640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed PARIVISION31c1,662$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.3255236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed PARIVISION52c1,601$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.5844648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa9…e525backed FURIA49c1,600$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+48%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.