CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9540824d9871286065a21e25be7c26b924abd58fd7ae9765e43975ea104500d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof FURIA, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed PARIVISION | 59c | 3,600$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.19 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed FURIA | 41c | 2,662$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.88 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked FURIA | 41c | 1,122$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 38c | 1,007$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.47 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…9893backed FURIA | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cee…1ac0backed PARIVISION | 62c | 324.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed PARIVISION | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 300 | 62.3%187 W · 113 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed PARIVISION | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FURIA | 39c | 124$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed PARIVISION | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4566…8063backed PARIVISION | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -8.7wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…3103backed PARIVISION | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed FURIA | 48c | 63.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 62c | 45.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…c9a6backed FURIA | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…322cbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +137.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 41c | 27.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed PARIVISION | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…b737backed PARIVISION | 61c | 19.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.