La Liga · resolved market
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea484692888fdbc3c54994d6badd6c2e93c05d4159b0e74515f74f0dbed3552a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesaof CD Castellón, Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,319 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 56c | 9,758$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.48 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed CD Castellón | 46c | 3,891$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.89 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CD Castellón | 43c | 2,747$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.16 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 65c | 2,046$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed CD Castellón | 36c | 1,195$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed CD Castellón | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed CD Castellón | 44c | 930.44$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.39 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 56c | 814.23$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.26 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Castellón | 43c | 633.27$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.6 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed CD Castellón | 44c | 282.97$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.53 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed CD Castellón | 40c | 247.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 57c | 229$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed CD Castellón | 43c | 225.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.99 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked CD Castellón | 43c | 216.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed CD Castellón | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 227 | 40.1%91 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed CD Castellón | 45c | 181.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed CD Castellón | 43c | 179.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.54 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 57c | 165.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed CD Castellón | 43c | 155.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.08 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Castellón | 44c | 145.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked CD Castellón | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked CD Castellón | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 60c | 112.18$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.88 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed CD Castellón | 45c | 111.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked CD Castellón | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…1bdfbacked CD Castellón | 41c | 98.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 68c | 98.56$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed CD Castellón | 43c | 96.16$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.35 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed CD Castellón | 46c | 96.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed CD Castellón | 37c | 83.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CD Castellón | 22c | 81.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CD Castellón | 40c | 74.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed CD Castellón | 44c | 69.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4f…ccbbbacked CD Castellón | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Castellón | 44c | 55.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed CD Castellón | 44c | 54.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed CD Castellón | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…4132backed CD Castellón | 46c | 52.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CD Castellón | 44c | 50.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…8cd3backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed CD Castellón | 34c | 47.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +216.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 73c | 45.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked CD Castellón | 45c | 44.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked CD Castellón | 45c | 44.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…93b1backed CD Castellón | 45c | 42.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed CD Castellón | 45c | 39.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked CD Castellón | 47c | 34.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed CD Castellón | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked CD Castellón | 47c | 31.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed CD Castellón | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 77c | 28.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 78c | 27.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…d6c6backed CD Castellón | 44c | 27.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked CD Castellón | 43c | 26.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 67c | 25.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked CD Castellón | 46c | 25.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked CD Castellón | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce18…3c84backed CD Castellón | 45c | 22.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 54c | 22.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f73…dcdebacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 55c | 20.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 74c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…221dbacked Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa | 66c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)this page
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Castellón vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Castellón (-2.5)Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa won
- Spread: Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa (-1.5)CD Castellón won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.