Mls · resolved market
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cb70b331a3efc652a451bc1133dceed77037d9db7adc599566cabbd4efe6c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,288 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 51c | 30,106$15,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,752.21 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 48c | 7,716$3,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,703.55 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 7,537$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,693.2 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 49c | 4,381$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.69 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 64c | 4,274$2,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.42 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 4,236$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.27 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 3,975$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.57 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 51c | 1,840$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.67 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 71c | 1,601$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.17 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 46c | 1,419$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.81 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,213$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.28 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 41c | 1,054$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.17 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 28c | 1,013$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.75 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 28c | 929.72$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 763.02$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 51c | 758.42$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.44 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 52c | 713$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.66 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 52c | 597.58$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Yes | 53c | 594$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.28 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +22.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 54c | 500$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 424.69$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.7 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 340.38$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.74 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 327.47$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.82 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 40c | 310.87$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 47c | 255.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 62c | 254.9$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 54c | 249.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 212.9$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75c…e826backed No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 42c | 203.89$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed No | 36c | 178.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 60c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 58c | 149.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…f3fdbacked No | 47c | 141$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 35c | 138.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 75c | 136$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 65c | 128.81$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 49c | 125$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 48c | 121.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…23c3backed No | 47c | 117.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 53c | 107.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 54c | 107$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 48c | 104.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 64c | 103.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 54c | 101$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.27 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 49c | 97.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 53c | 91.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 25c | 84.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 43c | 83.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 19c | 83.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadc6…952dbacked Yes | 71c | 81.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a4…9a10backed No | 49c | 80.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed Yes | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 79.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 36c | 77.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 57c | 70.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff2abacked Yes | 72c | 65.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked No | 49c | 61.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7a…476bbacked Yes | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will CF Montréal win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.