TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$229,748

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,748 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over50c106,887$53,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,387.892871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Under50c71,815$35,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,689.29649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under50c21,800$10,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,9008946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c21,329$10,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,627.421668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under51c17,868$9,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0911080%8 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+62.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under50c14,186$7,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,0744942.9%21 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under50c13,930$6,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,947.742941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under51c11,063$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6004751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under49c10,833$5,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,314.26825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Over51c9,000$4,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,410250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over50c7,477$3,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,738.51850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c6,259$3,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.9925149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c6,069$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.62934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c5,093$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6033046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c5,082$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.2897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5008845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over50c4,879$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,439.593663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over50c4,058$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,02912451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Under49c3,961$1,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.89862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over51c3,500$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7155054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab65…4a03backed Under50c2,306$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Under49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-48.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under51c2,025$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.69633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0500…6158backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over50c1,959$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.2277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under50c1,436$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c1,349$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.873,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Under49c1,156$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.63450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc1d…faffbacked Under50c1,068$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under48c974.25$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.644035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c900$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4509151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c779.81$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.913347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over51c732.45$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.91457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…23c3backed Over52c706.97$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under55c602.35$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.9528851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c593.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.358251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Over52c527.02$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over50c514$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25720648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25013948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over51c499.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.95251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…84f5backed Under50c476$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over51c450$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Over52c425.71$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.346939.1%27 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c400.41$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.1555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966546.2%30 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over49c364.22$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Under50c362$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Over53c359$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.652544%11 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Under65c296$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.43652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c289.27$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6368550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Under48c267.24$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.233151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c261.25$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.252147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c249.13$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Over51c235.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over74c233.38$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2315458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Over52c229.08$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.081758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under45c221.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under50c220$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe065…d1debacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over52c200$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.61070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe038…83f7backed Under48c196$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over50c190$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over51c188.24$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over51c184.57$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.3619657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Over52c176.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.15988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+68.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over48c167.91$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3124351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over51c166.67$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.674459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c160.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over51c150$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.2520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c662backed Over51c144$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over53c129$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.244438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under50c109.63$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.822133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43e1…b207backed Over52c102$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under49c100.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7810648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd56…d1cfbacked Over77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over59c97.21$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.733348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3df…04a4backed Over54c94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over51c92.63$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.742965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Over52c85.66$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+27.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under51c80$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2e…27b2backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c76.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3228721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7207…b2bbbacked Over53c71.7$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over50c64.8$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Over52c61.16$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.62785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick59cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.