Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96738b02371133488c302bd4761553b8a38ee6b838d9e4929b002f3d8b3e4579
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,417 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef4a…0314backed No | 43c | 558.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…e998backed Yes | 57c | 144.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Yes | 57c | 140.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed Yes | 57c | 138.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Yes | 57c | 134.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 115.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 90.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 56c | 76.52$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df6…c33bbacked Yes | 49c | 61.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 52.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…acdebacked Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 68c | 19.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- Atlanta United FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta United FC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.