South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95e1e8f31f39c7ef577ea7e6b656c12771be5f43c70c623bfe5b837fde2499ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,930 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 28c | 24,199$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,867.35 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 7,390$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.78 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked No | 72c | 6,111$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.08 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 26c | 5,436$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.09 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 4,702$3,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.09 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 72c | 4,555$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.17 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 28c | 3,981$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.01 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes | 28c | 1,798$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 1,656$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 1,574$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.02 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 25c | 1,249$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 7c | 1,042$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.18 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 6c | 708.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 72c | 687$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 543.95$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.22 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 486$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…45bebacked Yes | 3c | 449.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 5c | 428.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 72c | 390.63$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 373.47$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.31 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 350.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 28c | 267.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed No | 73c | 258.53$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 8c | 243.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 226.29$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.82 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc960…0e54backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed Yes | 10c | 173.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Yes | 30c | 169.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed Yes | 10c | 165.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…23c3backed No | 73c | 149.19$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 29c | 130$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 122.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…047abacked No | 74c | 118.92$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 71c | 117.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 71c | 113.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4f…4d73backed Yes | 28c | 107.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 73c | 105.56$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 101.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 92.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…3cb6backed Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 78.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 74c | 72.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 29c | 72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 26c | 69.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…1327backed Yes | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 71c | 56.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 72c | 52.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 47.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e4…4bc7backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 44.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 27c | 43.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…9e78backed No | 73c | 43.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…9bc9backed No | 73c | 41.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473a…addcbacked No | 73c | 39.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked No | 72c | 39.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 36.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c662backed No | 73c | 36.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…e49fbacked No | 73c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 77c | 26.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 23.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b07…869abacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked No | 74c | 18.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 17.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed No | 72c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 74c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-14?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.