TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10f0…3cb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Cricket, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2025, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Royals vs. Angelsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$9.9
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.76
Reds vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.16
Marlins vs. Guardiansbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.7
Marlins vs. Bravesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.56
Athletics vs. Oriolesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.5
Astros vs. Marlinsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$22.68
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.77
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$24.57
Orioles vs. Guardiansbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.4
Mariners vs. Yankeesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$18.72
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$20.16
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$17.49
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$18.15
Orioles vs. Raysbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$17.6
Reds vs. Tigersbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$16.74
Rangers vs. Twinsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$17.49
Blue Jays vs. Rangersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
Rangers vs. Yankeesbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.53
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$42.64
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54.4
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.97
Bruins vs. Senatorsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.62
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.08
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$18.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clemson vs. Louisvillebacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+117.4%+$35.64
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50.29
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$33.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+72.4%+$31.08
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Imperial (BO3)backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$65.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.22
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Aug 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Murray State Racers vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Murray State Racers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$39.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$6.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malmo FF win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.