MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe00860de118b829b4ff1917ba7e6b47073c0dbc1beed11a9375b562e6121f2be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Athletics, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,501,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500,456
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,501,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 52c | 1,111,634$580,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530,688.49 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,008,129$481,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481,585.57 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles | 53c | 247,217$132,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,121.65 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Athletics | 47c | 121,814$56,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,963.84 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Athletics | 46c | 75,450$34,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,706.98 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Athletics | 47c | 54,547$25,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,440.47 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Athletics | 46c | 27,415$12,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,505.19 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 46c | 12,500$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Athletics | 42c | 10,444$4,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,365.2 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Athletics | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Athletics | 49c | 8,516$4,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,178.44 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Athletics | 49c | 6,665$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.46 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 54c | 6,500$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,990 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Athletics | 50c | 6,285$3,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,142.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1476…ce65backed Orioles | 52c | 5,770$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,769.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…88dabacked Orioles | 52c | 4,230$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa190…5af2backed Athletics | 48c | 4,165$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 49c | 4,061$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…c324backed Orioles | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Athletics | 46c | 3,816$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.36 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Athletics | 50c | 3,582$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 48c | 3,582$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.35 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Athletics | 49c | 3,361$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.5 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99ae…e398backed Athletics | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Athletics | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 32c | 2,855$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Athletics | 15c | 2,750$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…56febacked Athletics | 48c | 2,710$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Athletics | 15c | 2,437$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.62 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Athletics | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Athletics | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01a2…d77ebacked Orioles | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.98 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…bfcfbacked Orioles | 51c | 1,986$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Athletics | 47c | 1,928$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.52 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Orioles | 50c | 1,880$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 45c | 1,840$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d1…2056backed Orioles | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,687$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.58 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Athletics | 47c | 1,668$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.89 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Athletics | 48c | 1,664$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.82 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Athletics | 48c | 1,505$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.29 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Athletics | 48c | 1,198$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.09 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Orioles | 50c | 1,132$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.6 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Athletics | 51c | 1,020$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77fb…849ebacked Athletics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Orioles | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Athletics | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Athletics | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 48c | 729$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Athletics | 47c | 702.13$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Athletics | 46c | 681.88$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.03 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Athletics | 48c | 673.36$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.46 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Athletics | 46c | 644$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.36 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…0824backed Athletics | 49c | 593$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Orioles | 51c | 591.84$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 80c | 591.46$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Athletics | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…0445backed Orioles | 51c | 580$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c33…d435backed Orioles | 51c | 570$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Athletics | 49c | 557$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Athletics | 29c | 518.6$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Athletics | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Athletics | 14c | 469.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Athletics | 48c | 458.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Athletics | 18c | 450$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Athletics | 9c | 420.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Athletics | 50c | 401$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Athletics | 46c | 400.63$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.29 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Orioles | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 17c | 365.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 50c | 317.81$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Athletics | 49c | 314.84$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.91 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Athletics | 51c | 314.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Athletics | 40c | 303.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Athletics | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Athletics | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Orioles | 55c | 285.44$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Athletics | 47c | 265.64$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 55c | 264.36$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Athletics | 45c | 264.36$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.96 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Athletics | 49c | 259$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.71 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Athletics | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Athletics | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Orioles | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791f…27f0backed Athletics | 49c | 242.86$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…57ebbacked Orioles | 52c | 240.38$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…b750backed Orioles | 52c | 238.19$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…4b51backed Athletics | 49c | 235.47$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17c0…0ac2backed Orioles | 52c | 234.27$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Orioles | 50c | 230$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…9065backed Athletics | 49c | 229.12$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Athletics | 49c | 214.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 49c | 209$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbf…dce5backed Athletics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Orioles | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.