MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef4b04b4ad55a55806cd666c1091b98285e95fa8057dc5a3626531f68c643dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,700
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Rays | 57c | 161,044$91,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,774.08 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Orioles | 43c | 99,999$43,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,999.43 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Orioles | 43c | 44,444$19,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,333.08 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Orioles | 44c | 30,196$13,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,050.95 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Orioles | 44c | 27,218$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,314.68 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rays | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rays | 56c | 13,305$7,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,450.52 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Rays | 12c | 12,351$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.12 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rays | 30c | 11,617$3,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,528.1 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 53c | 8,992$4,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,782.81 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rays | 57c | 8,494$4,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,836.54 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 43c | 7,980$3,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,584.23 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Orioles | 43c | 5,578$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.61 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 25c | 4,907$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Orioles | 41c | 4,484$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.6 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rays | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 50c | 3,875$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 57c | 3,761$2,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.89 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 44c | 3,637$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.69 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Rays | 11c | 3,483$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.18 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Orioles | 43c | 2,820$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.21 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Rays | 57c | 2,720$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.52 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.95 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Rays | 57c | 1,581$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rays | 2c | 1,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…07e0backed Rays | 50c | 1,450$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rays | 54c | 1,222$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.23 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Orioles | 41c | 1,057$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.7 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Orioles | 43c | 1,011$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.27 | 173 | 54.9%95 W · 78 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rays | 21c | 909$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.41 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fe…0cccbacked Rays | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Rays | 55c | 809.1$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.35 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rays | 55c | 706.18$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays | 21c | 697.27$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Orioles | 45c | 668.31$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.57 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Rays | 12c | 530.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 9c | 500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Orioles | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Rays | 57c | 437.09$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.14 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Rays | 48c | 417.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Rays | 56c | 392.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Rays | 38c | 386.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.44 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Rays | 59c | 374.58$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rays | 13c | 369$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Orioles | 43c | 368$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.46 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Orioles | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…a1c2backed Rays | 56c | 360.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rays | 56c | 339.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Rays | 57c | 338.58$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.99 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…6775backed Orioles | 79c | 318.7$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Rays | 20c | 301.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rays | 57c | 278.33$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7d…7158backed Rays | 57c | 277.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -5.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…aeb6backed Orioles | 44c | 263.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.29 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 51c | 251$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12f1…3cd3backed Rays | 56c | 246.88$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 182 | 43.4%79 W · 103 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 41c | 243.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 45c | 223$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rays | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rays | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x998c…6f97backed Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Rays | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Rays | 56c | 174.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Rays | 58c | 170.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Rays | 56c | 162.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 44c | 162$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Orioles | 49c | 154.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf29a…adb7backed Orioles | 44c | 144.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…59a7backed Rays | 57c | 131.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…6f9cbacked Orioles | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Rays | 57c | 124.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf14d…4c11backed Orioles | 44c | 120.39$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Orioles | 43c | 117.08$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9295…04f3backed Rays | 57c | 113.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Orioles | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Orioles | 48c | 110.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…f5aabacked Rays | 57c | 104.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Rays | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Orioles | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Rays | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…c89abacked Rays | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Orioles | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5d54backed Orioles | 43c | 97.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rays | 56c | 97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Orioles | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Orioles | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Rays | 56c | 86.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8910…c9b6backed Orioles | 44c | 80.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9938…c7e8backed Rays | 63c | 79.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Rays | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Orioles | 45c | 67.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.