MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfcddf18e3831a22ee1b0869efb96f507b5cb6b0fff54d86fcdfdad74ab5900
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bravesof Marlins, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Marlins | 57c | 8,019$4,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,570.43 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…f59bbacked Braves | 59c | 6,134$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.04 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Braves | 68c | 5,304$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.49 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Braves | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.76 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Braves | 54c | 3,688$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,696.52 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Braves | 46c | 3,533$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.33 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 45c | 3,339$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.52 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 29c | 3,068$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Braves | 55c | 2,518$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.22 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 44c | 2,072$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.3 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Marlins | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 41c | 1,653$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.91 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 46c | 1,386$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.14 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Braves | 54c | 1,136$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.3 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Marlins | 53c | 1,130$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.63 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Braves | 55c | 1,087$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.26 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Marlins | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Marlins | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Marlins | 20c | 999.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Braves | 76c | 996.88$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.87 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Braves | 54c | 867.93$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.25 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Marlins | 45c | 655$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.75 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Marlins | 46c | 649.99$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 47c | 569.55$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 54c | 551.04$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.48 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Braves | 54c | 550$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Marlins | 55c | 541.45$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.64 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 45c | 525.42$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.44 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Braves | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Marlins | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Braves | 53c | 470$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.7 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Marlins | 21c | 363.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Braves | 42c | 330.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…eda5backed Marlins | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Marlins | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 44c | 299.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Marlins | 45c | 298.09$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.74 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Braves | 79c | 275.22$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…0cc5backed Braves | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Braves | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…1742backed Braves | 48c | 240.56$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Braves | 53c | 223.42$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.01 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Marlins | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 47c | 213.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Marlins | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Braves | 55c | 189.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 54c | 184$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.64 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Braves | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Marlins | 26c | 178.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.45 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 46c | 176.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Marlins | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Braves | 59c | 148.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Braves | 55c | 143.33$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4354…571fbacked Braves | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Marlins | 45c | 126$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Marlins | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Braves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df0…ac50backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c4…40b5backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8f…d7cdbacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a7…1c20backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967e…aa3abacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1235…dc9bbacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43bc…b0bebacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef4…456abacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdc…8202backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd591…5beebacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0798…4bedbacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1395…b494backed Braves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…9758backed Marlins | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…fc6abacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3896…99d0backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545e…6e10backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…68c6backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82ae…fcc3backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…6bdabacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…cf13backed Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0e…748dbacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed27…7f0abacked Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…6b08backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…500abacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…2a0fbacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…7f9fbacked Braves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…5a19backed Marlins | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Braves | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 59c | 89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Marlins | 45c | 87.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Braves | 55c | 76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 46c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…8d9fbacked Braves | 56c | 70.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc38c…3c77backed Marlins | 46c | 67.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…0c8fbacked Marlins | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.