MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dd65b5098269c80ae795dab95ca283d12e38acaa7d9e1fb52efa3aea4aafb93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Phillies, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Phillies | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,599.96 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 38c | 10,000$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 37c | 6,185$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.29 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…10cebacked Phillies | 65c | 6,012$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…a24cbacked White Sox | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 66c | 5,408$3,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.24 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked White Sox | 38c | 5,020$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,907.59 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…f452backed Phillies | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf99…0bd4backed Phillies | 64c | 5,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed White Sox | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Phillies | 62c | 3,855$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.9 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed White Sox | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…a046backed White Sox | 36c | 3,334$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 37c | 2,500$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.94 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked White Sox | 36c | 2,290$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.52 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…a83fbacked White Sox | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed White Sox | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…cf80backed Phillies | 64c | 1,283$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked White Sox | 21c | 1,236$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed White Sox | 14c | 1,220$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b07…8e5ebacked Phillies | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0beb…2602backed White Sox | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…f3fcbacked White Sox | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…f5fcbacked Phillies | 64c | 1,117$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 35c | 1,113$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…1717backed White Sox | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…f88ebacked Phillies | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 2c | 1,073$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d5…88c7backed White Sox | 38c | 1,008$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f5…0c82backed White Sox | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked White Sox | 37c | 999.98$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd019…0003backed Phillies | 64c | 964$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed White Sox | 35c | 880$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 34c | 850$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…3cc5backed Phillies | 64c | 836$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe63…4772backed Phillies | 63c | 795.24$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked White Sox | 38c | 795$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d31…2cbfbacked White Sox | 38c | 794.74$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Phillies | 62c | 777.99$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked White Sox | 35c | 740$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed White Sox | 38c | 682$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.16 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 62c | 608.69$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.3 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 63c | 574.87$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.7 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Phillies | 63c | 535$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.95 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed White Sox | 42c | 520.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.41 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked White Sox | 38c | 510.51$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.99 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked White Sox | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Phillies | 61c | 497.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.01 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed White Sox | 38c | 496.17$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 38c | 454$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.52 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed White Sox | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 63c | 339.22$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.51 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x957d…72b9backed Phillies | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…44f9backed White Sox | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed White Sox | 37c | 299.95$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…345dbacked Phillies | 63c | 279.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed White Sox | 34c | 220$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked White Sox | 39c | 219$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed White Sox | 37c | 206.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.11 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 63c | 206.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.41 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e9…5105backed Phillies | 61c | 199.98$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0a…643abacked Phillies | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…aee5backed Phillies | 62c | 166.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12cd…f529backed Phillies | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…4b33backed White Sox | 36c | 158$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…f672backed Phillies | 64c | 152$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Phillies | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Phillies | 64c | 148$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed White Sox | 9c | 147$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…021cbacked White Sox | 36c | 142$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked White Sox | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…90c1backed White Sox | 36c | 123$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…e3acbacked Phillies | 64c | 123$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Phillies | 65c | 117.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…48e8backed Phillies | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62b1…dd65backed White Sox | 36c | 116$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Phillies | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed White Sox | 37c | 107.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…c8cfbacked Phillies | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed White Sox | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…4042backed Phillies | 65c | 85.86$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed White Sox | 37c | 84.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed White Sox | 34c | 82.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed White Sox | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…8a88backed Phillies | 80c | 76.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Phillies | 63c | 73.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…f15abacked Phillies | 63c | 71.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Phillies | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed White Sox | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked White Sox | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…9568backed White Sox | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.