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College Football · resolved market

Auburn vs. Baylor

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Auburnof Auburn, Baylor
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$351,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $351,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Baylor47c144,864$67,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,898.8837749.6%187 W · 190 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Auburn54c100,839$54,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,696.197846.2%36 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Auburn51c50,255$25,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,624.98955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Baylor50c28,294$14,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,146.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Auburn50c25,151$12,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,619.0415539.4%61 W · 94 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Auburn53c12,394$6,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,872.931850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Auburn56c10,396$5,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,583.7668440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Auburn52c10,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8001844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Baylor47c8,597$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.188149.4%40 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Auburn53c8,000$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Baylor26c7,179$1,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,886.056838.2%26 W · 42 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Baylor50c3,712$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,839.9429249%143 W · 149 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Baylor47c2,911$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3685038%19 W · 31 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc567…04bfbacked Baylor11c2,718$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-60.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Baylor26c2,294$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.112334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Auburn49c2,139$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.4486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Auburn52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9607545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Baylor49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Auburn52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.977126.8%19 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Baylor50c1,600$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.0381847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Baylor32c1,450$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.497929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Baylor17c1,423$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.8224229.3%71 W · 171 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Auburn50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70049253.5%263 W · 229 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Baylor47c1,340$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.841752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Auburn52c1,245$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7550358.1%292 W · 211 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Baylor20c1,220$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6611022.7%25 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Auburn51c1,131$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.3713845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Auburn50c1,117$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.7449443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Auburn52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806541.5%27 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Auburn52c951.21$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.941471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+82.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Baylor23c873.47$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7755350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Baylor3c832.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.882370.8%2 W · 235 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-98.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Baylor21c793$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1357144.7%255 W · 316 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Auburn51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Baylor20c745.29$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.132548%12 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Auburn52c733$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.8426147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Auburn50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30013548.9%66 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Auburn51c599.96$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.9810944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Auburn51c510$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.93240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Auburn50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25023751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baylor39c454.59$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.0662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Baylor29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11642244.5%188 W · 234 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8c…672ebacked Auburn50c323.26$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.633135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+26.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Auburn52c309.62$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.62520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Auburn51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14720950.2%105 W · 104 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…9e8abacked Auburn51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1474562.2%28 W · 17 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+53.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8ac0…b10abacked Auburn52c297.73$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.912259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cae…f15ebacked Baylor52c286.58$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1493043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd70e…6ea9backed Baylor4c270$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Auburn54c249.2$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.864052.5%21 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Baylor49c212.78$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.264250%21 W · 21 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+23.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Baylor47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Baylor48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006354%34 W · 29 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Baylor48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018858%109 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Auburn53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7d…0a62backed Auburn51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…74bbbacked Baylor50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969420.2%19 W · 75 L-8.0wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc417…3ca6backed Auburn53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944969.4%34 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Baylor20c195.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1616747.9%80 W · 87 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Auburn52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.315846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Auburn52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Auburn55c184.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2456844.5%253 W · 315 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Auburn56c179.35$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.354055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Baylor30c169.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8464841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afc…e1e4backed Baylor50c165$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…f3e1backed Auburn52c164.85$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0d3…8743backed Baylor47c160.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753842.1%16 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…0c58backed Auburn51c150$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b18…4257backed Baylor50c139.02$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.51425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Baylor35c134.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4540549.4%200 W · 205 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Baylor53c131.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2439847.7%190 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Auburn80c125.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.441788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick66cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5284…4e87backed Baylor8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08a…de3abacked Auburn50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2b…5752backed Baylor50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506630.3%20 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0df5…7794backed Baylor50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-79.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Auburn56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Auburn52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2838…32bbbacked Auburn78c99.15$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673762.2%23 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf4…1744backed Baylor23c92.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e73…3d8fbacked Baylor50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e2…d51fbacked Baylor49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Auburn51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.437357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad21…cefcbacked Auburn51c68.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.692955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Baylor50c68.06$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.21553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Auburn52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3116750.3%84 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf60…8ebcbacked Auburn52c67.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b38…b5c7backed Baylor45c61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.451338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Baylor49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.42416.7%4 W · 20 L-8.5wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-76.7%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xc084…a34fbacked Auburn52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.694156.1%23 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0045…582cbacked Auburn45c57.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Auburn53c54.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8518338.8%71 W · 112 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5eb…a8eebacked Baylor49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Auburn52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Auburn54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.312857%73 W · 55 L+9.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Baylor47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd32…c9c1backed Baylor47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5199…4011backed Baylor47c42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7440%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e41…914cbacked Auburn52c40.08$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.