MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6711ec7f58268598444798e71ffa790fc7315fc0f0db79c967d4aba6afd1f7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Blue Jays, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $137,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Rangers | 56c | 37,677$21,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,406.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Blue Jays | 42c | 23,227$9,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,755.18 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rangers | 58c | 20,351$11,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,547.24 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Blue Jays | 48c | 9,572$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.56 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rangers | 58c | 8,220$4,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,452.55 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 44c | 6,281$2,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,734.38 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 40c | 5,054$2,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.16 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 4,824$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.26 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec3…40acbacked Rangers | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Rangers | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Rangers | 58c | 2,563$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.64 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Rangers | 59c | 2,011$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.51 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rangers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Blue Jays | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,933$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.82 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Blue Jays | 43c | 1,472$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.08 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rangers | 58c | 1,460$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.44 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rangers | 56c | 1,321$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.92 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Blue Jays | 42c | 1,202$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.52 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 1,185$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.74 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blue Jays | 40c | 1,044$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.17 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Rangers | 58c | 890.98$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.21 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 43c | 862.9$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Blue Jays | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers | 53c | 668.11$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.84 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays | 43c | 516$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.88 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Rangers | 52c | 485.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.05 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rangers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jays | 30c | 350$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Rangers | 58c | 337.49$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rangers | 51c | 285.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.74 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Rangers | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Blue Jays | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Rangers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Blue Jays | 44c | 195.43$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Rangers | 57c | 194.82$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Rangers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Blue Jays | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Blue Jays | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 41c | 162.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Rangers | 55c | 127$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Rangers | 58c | 118.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.97 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Rangers | 57c | 118$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Rangers | 57c | 110.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers | 53c | 96.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Blue Jays | 42c | 74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Blue Jays | 44c | 72.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 66.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Rangers | 58c | 62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rangers | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Rangers | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Blue Jays | 43c | 50.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Blue Jays | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Blue Jays | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Blue Jays | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rangers | 58c | 43.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rangers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers | 57c | 42.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Rangers | 60c | 40.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Rangers | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Rangers | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…3cb6backed Blue Jays | 42c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Rangers | 60c | 26.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 43c | 25.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…b6f8backed Rangers | 60c | 23.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers | 58c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.