MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb09e475965a21b014e84720b2c206d4dc208fc3f231a3adc6aad5c01cbf7274
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Reds | 37c | 56,054$20,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,314.13 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Tigers | 63c | 20,591$12,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,972.63 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Tigers | 56c | 17,740$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3451…49a5backed Tigers | 63c | 14,286$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 28c | 11,690$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,389.45 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Tigers | 60c | 4,000$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.42 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers | 33c | 3,597$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Reds | 42c | 3,507$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.56 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Tigers | 63c | 3,174$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.81 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Tigers | 45c | 3,174$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.86 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Tigers | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Tigers | 46c | 2,827$1,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,302.09 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Reds | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.58 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers | 62c | 2,575$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.6 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 53c | 2,572$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.17 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Reds | 38c | 2,458$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.72 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Tigers | 56c | 2,187$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.17 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Reds | 49c | 2,130$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.65 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Tigers | 61c | 1,707$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.15 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Tigers | 66c | 1,595$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.65 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Tigers | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers | 77c | 1,508$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.23 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Reds | 26c | 1,336$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.04 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Reds | 40c | 1,138$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.65 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Tigers | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 42c | 999.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 38c | 921.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.05 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Reds | 24c | 880.67$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.4 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26a…8519backed Tigers | 63c | 857.3$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.1 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Tigers | 2c | 827.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Tigers | 62c | 799.98$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.99 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Tigers | 58c | 799.96$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Reds | 45c | 773$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.14 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Tigers | 69c | 729.74$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.71 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Tigers | 59c | 729.2$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.23 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Reds | 77c | 700.44$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.09 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Tigers | 6c | 677.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Reds | 39c | 512.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.59 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Tigers | 63c | 501.3$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.82 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Tigers | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Tigers | 20c | 460$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Tigers | 58c | 450$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a2…30e0backed Reds | 38c | 413.55$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Tigers | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Tigers | 77c | 391.21$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Tigers | 63c | 386.54$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Tigers | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Tigers | 63c | 313.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Tigers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 26c | 300$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Tigers | 61c | 299.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…e782backed Tigers | 63c | 299.73$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.83 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Reds | 34c | 281.37$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.41 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Reds | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Reds | 37c | 275.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Reds | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Tigers | 63c | 259$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.17 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Reds | 48c | 241$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.22 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Reds | 8c | 220.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.83 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 25c | 215.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.66 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Tigers | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Reds | 41c | 196.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Reds | 35c | 194.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…5f97backed Tigers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 32c | 181.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.3 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Reds | 40c | 172.89$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7b…a592backed Tigers | 64c | 163.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Tigers | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers | 64c | 156.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers | 64c | 156.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Reds | 34c | 154.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Tigers | 62c | 149.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.98 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 21c | 144.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 36c | 137.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.04 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Tigers | 52c | 124.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 38c | 123$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Tigers | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Tigers | 49c | 109.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Reds | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Tigers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers | 70c | 103.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Reds | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Tigers | 62c | 102.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Reds | 18c | 101.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd3…8757backed Tigers | 64c | 101.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Reds | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Reds | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Tigers | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Tigers | 63c | 99.67$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Tigers | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Tigers | 63c | 89$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Reds | 42c | 88.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Reds | 35c | 87.83$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Tigers | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 37c | 79.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Tigers | 63c | 79.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Tigers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.