Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5937e6bf4d44a69e8f6d4924760f8723fd44ac2e88974d124870d6c4dd1fad6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Yes | 49c | 11,276$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 52c | 5,707$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,737.37 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 50c | 4,472$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.26 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 47c | 1,691$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.35 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 54c | 1,258$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.1 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 1,214$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.48 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,100$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 51c | 599.02$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…aa2dbacked Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 45c | 553.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 51c | 538.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 49c | 408.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 48c | 394.6$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 47c | 309.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 50c | 285.6$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 50c | 269.58$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.79 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…326bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…6fa0backed Yes | 52c | 130.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes | 46c | 128.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…4291backed Yes | 16c | 124.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 64c | 109.17$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 102.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 51c | 98.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 158 | 29.1%46 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…7081backed Yes | 51c | 85.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 53c | 65.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5543…4195backed Yes | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 50c | 54.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3606…9bd2backed Yes | 53c | 52.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 199 | 43.2%86 W · 113 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26da…2698backed Yes | 47c | 49.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 35c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6695…6f1abacked Yes | 45c | 44.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…3cb6backed No | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 52c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…a98bbacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cf…5ab8backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…bd8ebacked Yes | 40c | 25.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…3b47backed Yes | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…3852backed Yes | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…64a0backed Yes | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-08-24?this page
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-08-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.