TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Blue Jays vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$269,408
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$266,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,408 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ee1…dae8backed Blue Jays38c49,954$18,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,971.766456.3%36 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers62c29,509$18,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,201.4550852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers62c25,973$16,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,083.7248254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dae…f8b2backed Tigers63c22,411$14,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,052.3813352.6%70 W · 63 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Blue Jays39c12,816$4,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,842.7626355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Blue Jays37c11,698$4,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3701,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers3c10,299$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.531,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked Tigers61c8,979$5,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,477.236642.4%28 W · 38 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Tigers61c8,358$5,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,098.544456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf103…abebbacked Tigers64c6,250$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Tigers61c5,260$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,208.5716352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.2128646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers43c4,933$2,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,117.396,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays39c4,334$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,643.531248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays39c4,015$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.372,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8f…03e9backed Blue Jays36c3,890$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf253…9baebacked Tigers64c3,750$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers15c3,749$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.832,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc607…4e9abacked Blue Jays39c3,744$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,283.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Blue Jays59c3,384$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.2413151.9%68 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f4a…8494backed Blue Jays36c3,333$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Tigers61c3,300$2,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,012.9238249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Tigers62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00034550.7%175 W · 170 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x532f…83ccbacked Blue Jays39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8307548%36 W · 39 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Tigers61c3,000$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.513247.7%63 W · 69 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Tigers57c2,882$1,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,642.7417156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Tigers63c2,851$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.0713946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e0…e89fbacked Blue Jays36c2,775$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7762100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Tigers52c2,706$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.6638444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36da…e646backed Tigers37c2,697$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.3923545.1%106 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Tigers61c2,550$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.4843654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays43c2,538$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.211,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033b…2f6bbacked Blue Jays41c2,415$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.172725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tigers60c2,313$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,387.75,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Tigers61c2,200$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34211555.7%64 W · 51 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Tigers19c2,142$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Tigers61c2,050$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jays37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,26012655.6%70 W · 56 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Tigers62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Blue Jays35c1,972$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.0436047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers60c1,790$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.9254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Tigers62c1,750$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,092.2956451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Tigers63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.981,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jays37c1,563$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.781,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Blue Jays38c1,484$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.911449.1%56 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Tigers59c1,467$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.3224551.8%127 W · 118 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays40c1,401$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842.959,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Blue Jays73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8680955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays37c1,351$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.3563052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Blue Jays38c1,306$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6532852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Blue Jays40c1,200$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72632042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed Tigers38c1,184$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.95115.7%8 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x86e9…fa1dbacked Blue Jays45c1,113$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.726154.1%33 W · 28 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers2c1,087$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.675053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Tigers10c1,038$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4943946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Blue Jays39c1,026$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.646847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Blue Jays40c995.1$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.069947.5%47 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7836…6bc4backed Blue Jays40c970$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58211331.9%36 W · 77 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blue Jays38c921$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.0273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Blue Jays37c900$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5671,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Blue Jays57c880.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.728053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1331…3d82backed Tigers66c740.98$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.0514966.4%99 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays40c729.43$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.0421753.9%117 W · 100 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Blue Jays36c699.97$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9816349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers16c680.25$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7741747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41e…d27dbacked Blue Jays37c675.68$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6822546.2%104 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Blue Jays36c641.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.8650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11c…49efbacked Blue Jays38c631.39$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.4612949.6%64 W · 65 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blue Jays39c600$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36642452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1032…77f1backed Blue Jays37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Blue Jays35c571.43$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.4395930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Blue Jays39c569.23$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.2316654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Tigers2c550$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Blue Jays39c514.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.685429.6%16 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Blue Jays39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.828052.5%42 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Tigers62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31024248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Blue Jays38c468.01$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2428447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x01ee…9b19backed Blue Jays56c441.07$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.071353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Blue Jays37c432.43$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.4317558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blue Jays45c410.39$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.644,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Tigers57c409.82$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c11…02c8backed Blue Jays39c408.97$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.478944.9%40 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays41c395.72$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.7266645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed Blue Jays39c381.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.719151.6%47 W · 44 L+5.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays38c376$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0285047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blue Jays37c375.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.251,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Tigers60c364.75$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Tigers61c333.33$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.331250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked Blue Jays39c330.9$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.457143.7%31 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Blue Jays46c313.66$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7380680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays37c308.11$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.1170946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Blue Jays34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Blue Jays35c286$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Tigers61c284.25$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.021,38855.1%765 W · 623 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fdd…0661backed Blue Jays37c275$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b66…7554backed Blue Jays37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.275459.3%32 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaade…71f1backed Blue Jays37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.272850%14 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers64c267.19$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…0d3fbacked Blue Jays38c266.85$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.