TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Paris FC win on 2025-10-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,253
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,253 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes55c22,362$12,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,063.09955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No45c9,121$4,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,104.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No20c8,717$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.371,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c6,870$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.121216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-78.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes60c6,197$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No45c5,803$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,594.4314654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3389…4828backed Yes55c4,300$2,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf537…f248backed No46c3,987$1,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,813.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes55c3,049$1,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.144772.3%34 W · 13 L+7.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+22.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed No45c2,530$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.6520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c2,179$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.1719055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0471…2f68backed No45c2,150$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No46c2,147$977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.047529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c2,109$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.181,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No44c2,084$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.2213050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0be5…da76backed No47c2,025$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf624…acc7backed Yes55c2,025$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf661…d170backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed No45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2085…8ad2backed No46c1,964$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6123…b735backed Yes57c1,964$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2943…177abacked Yes55c1,750$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa614…da1abacked Yes59c1,702$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.64875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No48c1,630$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.979140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No41c1,339$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.7921560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No32c1,298$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.754839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No37c1,197$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.0611355.8%63 W · 50 L+7.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes53c1,172$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.723153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8fec…5b6fbacked No45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No6c1,001$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.062369.6%16 W · 7 L+5.6wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1a27…6c07backed Yes56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes75c896.68$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.433158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc91d…ebd1backed Yes55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes59c690$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.62425%6 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Yes56c650$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2868242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Yes51c547.89$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.47540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc4…e44abacked No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Yes55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes55c472.73$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.734645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb125…69ebbacked No13c471.95$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.953026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes55c454.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.551163.6%7 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a89…bfddbacked Yes55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50d3…af3ebacked No46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No45c399.96$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.9812050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd233…3176backed No45c345$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e76…5d0abacked No45c345$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839c…b8b6backed No45c335$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Yes56c333.93$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.931353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1325556.4%31 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Yes54c300$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.52055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf8…9b55backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294551.1%23 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1473145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes54c299.99$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.997549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No11c229.85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9233938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes56c203.52$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.5515071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.991827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed No40c192$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.82860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No46c179.49$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.571421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.573732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.571450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes55c151.69$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.351060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes55c147.27$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.273458.8%20 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90d4…2692backed Yes70c142$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.61266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked Yes53c141.51$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.511464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed No37c119.74$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes54c118.86$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9426845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes56c117.89$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.871154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19fd…4533backed No45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes66c110$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.257844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes54c102.73$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.136850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x420a…414cbacked Yes55c100.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…e057backed No45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c96…f165backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe797…2b36backed Yes54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+105.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c4…a92dbacked Yes55c90.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.633100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+98.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes51c90$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.13630.6%11 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd54a…00c0backed Yes55c87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7314340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Yes55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed No46c71.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0909…91cabacked Yes55c65.45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Yes55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.643721.6%8 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d4f…3e05backed Yes55c63.64$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb4…3e29backed Yes53c62.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d81…259bbacked Yes56c51.66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc48d…8a40backed Yes56c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.92080%16 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf257…238ebacked No45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a0…ca0cbacked No45c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf778…2f09backed Yes51c47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.031833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2973…3547backed No49c46.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2942…5c1bbacked No44c46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1367…03b8backed No49c40.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48ab…fcabbacked No46c40.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.