MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x124df10e1ad97d41ebc03a98884bf12378e7a64956b15d9ccb1bf24a29a01af2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Astros, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $987,982
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 62c | 728,265$450,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278,264.87 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Astros | 38c | 240,955$91,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,101.87 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Astros | 38c | 98,192$37,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,628.04 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Astros | 38c | 92,479$35,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,141.98 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Astros | 38c | 54,455$20,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,717.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Astros | 27c | 50,761$13,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,526.85 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 40c | 45,687$18,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,111.52 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Astros | 38c | 40,000$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Astros | 9c | 30,178$2,712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,712.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 26c | 25,236$6,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,668.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 17c | 21,423$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.89 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 40c | 21,191$8,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,415.78 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Astros | 38c | 20,738$7,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,838.93 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 40c | 18,568$7,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,427.18 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 38c | 17,339$6,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,588.63 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Astros | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Blue Jays | 80c | 7,388$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Astros | 39c | 6,460$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.67 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Astros | 39c | 5,040$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,965.6 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Astros | 40c | 5,006$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.4 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 39c | 4,837$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 3,226$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…114dbacked Astros | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 16c | 2,871$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Blue Jays | 60c | 2,757$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.68 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Astros | 32c | 2,612$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.52 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Astros | 19c | 2,505$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.69 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 39c | 2,498$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.05 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed Astros | 13c | 2,438$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Astros | 40c | 2,410$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.16 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Astros | 39c | 2,314$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.46 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 38c | 2,210$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.8 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Astros | 39c | 2,185$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.36 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed Blue Jays | 68c | 2,085$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.07 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x305e…7d29backed Astros | 40c | 2,079$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0364…f19bbacked Astros | 38c | 2,000$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 39c | 1,952$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.2 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed Astros | 40c | 1,949$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.48 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 39c | 1,898$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.03 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Astros | 20c | 1,875$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.25 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Astros | 40c | 1,790$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Astros | 38c | 1,676$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Astros | 41c | 1,666$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Astros | 40c | 1,501$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 3c | 1,440$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,321$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.85 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 16c | 1,211$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.75 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Blue Jays | 60c | 1,208$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.33 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Astros | 19c | 1,131$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.23 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Astros | 40c | 1,092$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,091$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.32 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Blue Jays | 60c | 1,075$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.93 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Astros | 38c | 1,050$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.5 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Astros | 40c | 1,045$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Astros | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Astros | 39c | 915$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Astros | 40c | 883.85$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.54 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 4c | 877.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Astros | 39c | 874.36$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Astros | 40c | 870.99$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f5…ee20backed Astros | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Astros | 40c | 799.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…ec0dbacked Astros | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 6c | 677.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.86 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Astros | 3c | 649.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Astros | 22c | 638.02$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Astros | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Astros | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 7c | 585.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Astros | 39c | 578$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.42 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Astros | 39c | 557.08$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.26 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Astros | 13c | 546.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 39c | 506.23$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.43 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Astros | 40c | 503.95$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.58 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Astros | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Astros | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 197 | 47.2%93 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Astros | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Astros | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Blue Jays | 70c | 471.43$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Astros | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…aac8backed Astros | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…bfc1backed Astros | 41c | 381.12$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -72%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 381.05$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.42 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 20c | 377.84$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.94 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…5faabacked Astros | 41c | 365.85$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x029b…1f75backed Blue Jays | 60c | 365.78$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Astros | 39c | 355$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.45 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Astros | 41c | 333$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Astros | 4c | 330$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 40c | 329.97$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 40c | 329.43$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.77 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Astros vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Astros vs. Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Under won
- NRFI: Astros vs. Blue JaysNo won
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Blue Jays won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.