MLB · resolved market
Rangers vs. Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92720db12f401d73b35729059d5f3a87653bfb86e05ae591723c4eb5c4b05c6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Twins | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9b10backed Rangers | 46c | 9,998$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…e638backed Twins | 54c | 9,996$5,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Twins | 4c | 2,271$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.14 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Rangers | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.66 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Twins | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.99 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Twins | 53c | 1,651$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.97 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Twins | 16c | 1,338$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.08 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Rangers | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins | 3c | 1,065$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 1c | 1,010$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Twins | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Twins | 1c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Twins | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers | 57c | 907.28$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.55 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Twins | 1c | 786.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 78c | 666.46$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Twins | 2c | 645.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Twins | 64c | 629$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Rangers | 46c | 599.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x474b…a13cbacked Twins | 33c | 495$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers | 46c | 489.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Twins | 54c | 475.37$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Twins | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Twins | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Twins | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rangers | 76c | 379.11$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Rangers | 46c | 362$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Twins | 56c | 359.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Twins | 42c | 359.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Twins | 61c | 329.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Rangers | 46c | 299.98$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Twins | 53c | 291.87$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Rangers | 46c | 262.99$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.01 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 78c | 256.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Rangers | 47c | 224$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.72 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 44c | 223.93$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.35 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Twins | 13c | 220.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Twins | 45c | 202.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Twins | 54c | 190$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rangers | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Twins | 54c | 111.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Rangers | 43c | 110.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5a…1d01backed Rangers | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Rangers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rangers | 42c | 104$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rangers | 47c | 103.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Twins | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Twins | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Twins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Rangers | 46c | 90$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Twins | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Twins | 37c | 81.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Rangers | 46c | 69.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Twins | 53c | 69.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 58c | 60.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Twins | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Twins | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f18…77c9backed Twins | 19c | 57.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Rangers | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Twins | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…4fccbacked Twins | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Twins | 53c | 55.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Rangers | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…aae4backed Rangers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Rangers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Twins | 46c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025f…c1cfbacked Twins | 53c | 39.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Twins | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Twins | 54c | 34.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,086 | 46.2%502 W · 584 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f0…3cb6backed Rangers | 47c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Rangers | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Twins | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Twins | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Twins | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…41dcbacked Rangers | 47c | 24.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Rangers | 45c | 23.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rangers | 46c | 23.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Twins | 54c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0155…0ce3backed Twins | 54c | 18.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.