TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Mariners, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$323,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$352,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners51c46,082$23,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,439.4818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Rangers46c30,192$13,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,306.6514747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Rangers52c27,361$14,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,076.82955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rangers46c22,798$10,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,387.581,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Mariners42c21,295$8,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,931.8897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners31c11,313$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.611,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners54c10,564$5,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,704.691,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners43c10,150$4,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,365.612,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Rangers68c9,869$6,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.842065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Rangers57c7,919$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,439.052236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Mariners55c7,855$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9928447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners35c6,795$2,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,411.0845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Mariners54c6,481$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50053150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Mariners50c5,056$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.2925550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Rangers47c4,979$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,656.2835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners53c4,701$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.9732852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Rangers46c4,484$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.4311153.2%59 W · 52 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers45c4,430$1,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.73450%17 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners42c4,403$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.839,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Mariners53c4,360$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.9716352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Rangers59c3,480$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,434.4115851.9%82 W · 76 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-10.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Rangers73c2,752$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.3524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners53c2,512$1,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,331.138047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rangers47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf513…8297backed Rangers56c2,280$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.21968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners48c2,163$1,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.7426847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers44c2,159$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.398149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Mariners35c2,000$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.0115745.2%71 W · 86 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Rangers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.9937446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Mariners51c1,958$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.441127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Mariners21c1,884$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Mariners42c1,883$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rangers46c1,740$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.591,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…c054backed Rangers56c1,643$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.861877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mariners47c1,595$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.5531248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976c…62b8backed Rangers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7951540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Rangers68c1,444$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.182941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rangers46c1,429$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.7841850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mariners48c1,415$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.3554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9591…7951backed Mariners46c1,288$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.351770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Mariners55c1,265$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.7517354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fc8…1bfbbacked Mariners54c1,102$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5951145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rangers47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mariners49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54066645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187a…f263backed Rangers48c980.97$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9708…925bbacked Mariners52c935.46$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4416643.4%72 W · 94 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50061346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Mariners49c916.33$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4491,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Rangers45c854.81$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1517351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners49c820.1$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.651,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Mariners47c800$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37632042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed Rangers77c781.3$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.39554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Rangers45c778$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.973352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed Mariners35c767.66$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.285642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1162…1a5bbacked Mariners54c740.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Mariners58c700$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4061,01051.2%517 W · 493 L+36.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rangers66c682.18$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Mariners16c593.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9520944%92 W · 117 L-11.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x123a…3260backed Mariners46c591.3$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers61c557.58$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.754941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58fd…0e7ebacked Rangers46c552.23$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+76.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6187…1746backed Mariners33c550$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1741…cffbbacked Mariners54c517.41$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-45.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x63d8…b86abacked Rangers48c503.83$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.99966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Mariners61c494.84$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30038455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Rangers70c450.35$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.7520343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners34c448.57$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.346,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Rangers44c443.96$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.981,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Mariners50c439.61$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22017754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c77…a901backed Mariners51c418.31$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.73520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners26c414.95$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Mariners51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20433852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Rangers47c395.53$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.6315151%77 W · 74 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners42c392$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.6565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c1…3284backed Mariners54c379.63$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Rangers36c360.04$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.6351151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Mariners50c350$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16fa…8234backed Mariners53c340.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners37c331.87$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Rangers59c328.71$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.1680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x0190…4778backed Mariners54c324.48$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Rangers78c310.99$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.423464.7%22 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd540…b2febacked Rangers47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Mariners67c298.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.96648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners45c291.28$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.71,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Rangers49c273.03$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.245633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Mariners54c265.18$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.4538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d50…3b2fbacked Mariners54c262.96$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners46c259.65$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Rangers41c229.93$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.6626453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bbd…606cbacked Mariners32c220.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.949237%34 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd073…b757backed Mariners35c219.31$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.763560%21 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Mariners46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011446.5%53 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mariners47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Mariners50c204.61$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10252542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mariners53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f2…0659backed Rangers47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1064252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Mariners41c197.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8239739.5%157 W · 240 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.