MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51fd661f322492a3a5fa8c1b070cd1f44c47d1f69c0654215f160f18cc93bb36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yankeesof Mariners, Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50a8…143fbacked Mariners | 0c | 33,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 7c | 24,712$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Yankees | 58c | 22,405$12,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,409.9 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 4c | 18,846$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 22c | 10,463$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 42c | 9,704$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.91 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Mariners | 1c | 9,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mariners | 42c | 8,095$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Mariners | 41c | 6,946$2,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.9 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners | 21c | 6,106$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.94 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mariners | 41c | 5,657$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.37 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Yankees | 59c | 5,170$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,119.7 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 17c | 3,400$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.53 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Yankees | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.98 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yankees | 59c | 2,951$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yankees | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Yankees | 59c | 1,690$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.92 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yankees | 59c | 1,615$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.32 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 39c | 1,583$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mariners | 18c | 1,319$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mariners | 7c | 1,318$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Mariners | 23c | 1,277$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.3 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 6c | 1,169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe994…86ccbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,120$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…2d38backed Mariners | 42c | 1,120$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,042$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.37 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yankees | 58c | 1,016$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.61 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Mariners | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Mariners | 41c | 950$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.5 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Mariners | 42c | 849.63$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mariners | 16c | 800$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Mariners | 2c | 757.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 586 | 2%12 W · 574 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Yankees | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mariners | 3c | 689.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Mariners | 13c | 687.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 16c | 680$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…f540backed Yankees | 60c | 597.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.97 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Mariners | 10c | 515.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ff…a806backed Yankees | 59c | 515.12$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Yankees | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Yankees | 61c | 494.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Mariners | 41c | 487$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Mariners | 6c | 475.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Mariners | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners | 8c | 450$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Mariners | 16c | 437.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Mariners | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Yankees | 61c | 414.46$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners | 39c | 407.9$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.08 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Mariners | 40c | 384.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yankees | 59c | 378.89$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Yankees | 59c | 375.73$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.05 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Yankees | 58c | 334.59$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.53 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…cac8backed Mariners | 6c | 315.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Mariners | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yankees | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Mariners | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mariners | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Mariners | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Mariners | 41c | 244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mariners | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Mariners | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mariners | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mariners | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yankees | 59c | 237.29$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.29 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Mariners | 5c | 226.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Mariners | 41c | 214.37$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.89 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 38c | 203.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Mariners | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mariners | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Yankees | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Yankees | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f4…55c1backed Mariners | 18c | 163.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 64 | 17.2%11 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 9c | 151.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yankees | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Mariners | 42c | 143$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners | 22c | 129.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mariners | 42c | 127.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Mariners | 15c | 126.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 331 | 37.5%124 W · 207 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mariners | 41c | 124.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yankees | 57c | 116.95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Yankees | 60c | 116.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mariners | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff49…69f5backed Mariners | 41c | 115.34$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 12c | 114$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…91d2backed Mariners | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Mariners | 38c | 100.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mariners | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Mariners | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Mariners | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Mariners | 39c | 93.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Mariners | 42c | 91.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb573…7abdbacked Yankees | 59c | 91.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Yankees | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…27a5backed Mariners | 20c | 78.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…b98ebacked Mariners | 20c | 74.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -65%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.