MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e316c1275ef11551e3eff0dd5ff45cb2d77faa7314821cc8c22448022f63b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Astros, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $402,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $424,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $402,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies | 35c | 32,760$11,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,244.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 65c | 28,550$18,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,555 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Rockies | 68c | 22,485$15,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,272.08 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Astros | 46c | 20,000$9,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,237.32 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Astros | 53c | 19,354$10,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,246.56 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 51c | 19,046$9,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,398.29 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies | 36c | 14,777$5,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,457.15 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Astros | 64c | 14,015$8,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,969.58 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Astros | 63c | 13,191$8,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,310.49 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies | 37c | 12,913$4,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,135.45 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Rockies | 36c | 12,601$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,064.64 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockies | 37c | 12,462$4,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,900.13 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 28c | 12,300$3,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.54 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Rockies | 36c | 12,178$4,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,793.64 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Astros | 64c | 10,564$6,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460f…9eb7backed Rockies | 36c | 10,250$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,550.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…fb11backed Astros | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,299.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Astros | 45c | 9,656$4,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,308.93 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies | 36c | 9,178$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.36 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Rockies | 47c | 8,987$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.07 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 49c | 6,552$3,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227.58 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Astros | 64c | 5,357$3,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,428.29 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 63c | 5,269$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,302.85 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Astros | 65c | 5,242$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.52 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 21c | 5,239$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.23 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros | 57c | 3,883$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Rockies | 36c | 3,824$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,452.88 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 68c | 3,815$2,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.68 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies | 35c | 3,814$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Rockies | 75c | 3,743$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.58 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros | 64c | 3,721$2,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies | 36c | 3,524$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250.8 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 47c | 3,518$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,872.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Rockies | 35c | 3,137$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.14 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Rockies | 79c | 3,000$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.77 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Rockies | 80c | 2,936$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Astros | 63c | 2,690$1,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies | 37c | 2,380$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.4 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockies | 36c | 2,283$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.42 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies | 61c | 2,280$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.53 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Astros | 64c | 2,217$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.32 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 41c | 2,063$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.42 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Rockies | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.87 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 36c | 1,888$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.24 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Astros | 51c | 1,782$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.02 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Astros | 35c | 1,751$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.39 | 131 | 38.2%50 W · 81 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Astros | 64c | 1,734$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Astros | 54c | 1,712$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.38 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e98…0ab2backed Rockies | 56c | 1,691$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies | 61c | 1,661$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.94 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Astros | 76c | 1,601$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.84 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 63c | 1,591$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Astros | 64c | 1,531$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.9 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…ed7ebacked Astros | 66c | 1,354$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Rockies | 40c | 1,299$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.48 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Astros | 68c | 1,160$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.45 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 34c | 1,110$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.19 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Astros | 67c | 1,107$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.69 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282c…784bbacked Astros | 66c | 1,104$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.18 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Astros | 52c | 1,065$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.9 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Rockies | 37c | 986.49$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.49 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Rockies | 78c | 968.59$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.2 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467a…0727backed Astros | 61c | 943.84$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Astros | 64c | 926.94$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.24 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Astros | 60c | 915$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.6 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Rockies | 41c | 802.35$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.18 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…b4d9backed Astros | 62c | 713$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 60c | 699.99$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Astros | 64c | 692.03$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.9 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 63c | 635$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3f…55c0backed Astros | 64c | 600$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Rockies | 36c | 579.24$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.33 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Astros | 29c | 576.61$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 63c | 554.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.64 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Astros | 31c | 550$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…4038backed Astros | 65c | 530.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Astros | 9c | 530$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…bbc7backed Astros | 49c | 521.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Astros | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Astros | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…7f7cbacked Astros | 64c | 471.45$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 64c | 460.72$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Astros | 69c | 435.64$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.59 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Rockies | 71c | 423.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.18 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Astros | 25c | 409.95$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.77 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Rockies | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Rockies | 37c | 400$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 81 | 56.8%46 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Rockies | 35c | 400$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Astros | 64c | 392$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.88 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Astros | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 36c | 370.94$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.4 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…4f69backed Astros | 64c | 365.43$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Astros | 56c | 363.25$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Astros | 46c | 362.79$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Astros | 64c | 349.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81b…89b1backed Astros | 74c | 337.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.