NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcda3d6ed35661a9875253a94837914ecca26057ef815785f786b5db84f5bbda4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Bruins, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,853,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,950,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,853,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Senators | 62c | 1,599,999$992,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607,999.75 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Bruins | 38c | 263,158$100,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,000 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Bruins | 38c | 165,000$62,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,700 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Bruins | 38c | 149,836$56,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56,935.95 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Bruins | 38c | 139,881$53,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,154.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Bruins | 38c | 116,260$44,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,173.03 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bruins | 38c | 100,849$38,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,393.8 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bruins | 38c | 80,000$30,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,400 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Bruins | 38c | 79,000$30,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,020 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Bruins | 38c | 65,100$24,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,738 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bruins | 38c | 50,000$19,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,000 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bruins | 38c | 40,695$15,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,464.1 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Bruins | 38c | 39,500$15,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,010 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Bruins | 38c | 36,772$13,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,976.5 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Bruins | 40c | 31,500$12,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,450 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bruins | 38c | 26,200$9,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,956 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Bruins | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bruins | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Bruins | 31c | 22,497$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.77 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Bruins | 38c | 15,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,700 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Senators | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…7218backed Bruins | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Bruins | 38c | 11,000$4,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,180 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Bruins | 38c | 10,790$4,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,092.26 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Bruins | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.95 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bruins | 38c | 10,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.94 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Bruins | 38c | 9,222$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,504.36 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Bruins | 38c | 8,800$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Bruins | 38c | 8,324$3,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,163.12 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f09…cdd5backed Bruins | 38c | 7,370$2,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bruins | 36c | 7,170$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.45 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Bruins | 38c | 6,015$2,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.89 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Bruins | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Bruins | 33c | 6,000$1,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…f06fbacked Bruins | 38c | 5,620$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bruins | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Senators | 60c | 4,203$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.2 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77be…b0fdbacked Senators | 62c | 4,032$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Senators | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…c9c2backed Senators | 62c | 3,550$2,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Bruins | 38c | 3,545$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.1 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Bruins | 38c | 3,363$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.11 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bruins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Bruins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Bruins | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.98 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Bruins | 38c | 2,967$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.46 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Senators | 61c | 2,823$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.83 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 60c | 2,720$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.04 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Bruins | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…40cabacked Bruins | 38c | 2,630$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32af…f5acbacked Bruins | 9c | 2,509$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…814bbacked Senators | 62c | 2,421$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bruins | 38c | 2,391$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.77 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Senators | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Bruins | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.92 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,754$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.67 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Bruins | 38c | 1,595$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.1 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Senators | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…2fd8backed Bruins | 38c | 1,525$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…26febacked Senators | 63c | 1,495$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…e7d4backed Bruins | 38c | 1,493$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,490$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.12 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 38c | 1,450$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.69 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf453…9c8dbacked Senators | 63c | 1,396$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dab…3cc4backed Bruins | 38c | 1,396$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Senators | 63c | 1,239$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.25 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bruins | 38c | 1,225$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.3 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Senators | 63c | 1,190$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.48 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Bruins | 38c | 1,183$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…da76backed Senators | 63c | 1,183$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Senators | 62c | 1,174$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.63 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Bruins | 41c | 1,136$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.09 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Senators | 60c | 1,031$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.48 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Bruins | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Bruins | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Senators | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Bruins | 49c | 987$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.53 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bruins | 24c | 972$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.05 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…b449backed Bruins | 38c | 949.47$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bruins | 38c | 921$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b06…fbf1backed Bruins | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Senators | 59c | 891.58$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…3f4ebacked Senators | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Bruins | 5c | 781.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Bruins | 39c | 750$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked Bruins | 40c | 725$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…400cbacked Senators | 62c | 717.5$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a73…8863backed Bruins | 40c | 717.5$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27f…d5f6backed Senators | 63c | 660.78$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Bruins | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Bruins | 37c | 650.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.78 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Senators | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Senators | 61c | 600$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Bruins | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…2941backed Bruins | 37c | 599.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff2…c5e6backed Bruins | 38c | 559.53$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Bruins | 22c | 548.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Bruins | 43c | 540.76$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.39 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Bruins | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Senatorsthis page
- Bruins vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.