TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,179 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes27c20,346$5,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,852.7519846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c19,046$13,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,882.71,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c7,881$5,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,788.381,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c3,510$1,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,927.45,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes33c3,418$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.788,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No3c3,024$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0221132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes27c2,206$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.8222049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes26c2,170$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,599.533,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No73c2,058$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.3437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No73c2,000$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46039853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No73c1,702$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.4623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.574847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No27c1,416$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.412,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes23c1,229$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.418160.2%109 W · 72 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes27c822.79$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.4581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes51c787.88$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.884641.3%19 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d3…8a20backed Yes26c682.85$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.313565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes27c628.4$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.338530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes18c602.4$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.263,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Yes17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.249956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes19c500$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.018831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Yes66c455.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.026949.3%34 W · 35 L+9.1wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb54…f517backed Yes7c412.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,082.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c394.63$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.5684943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.621833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes29c320.69$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.697047.1%33 W · 37 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes50c284.02$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.611346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes27c282.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.7328231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Yes26c269.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.233378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No73c252$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9617946.9%84 W · 95 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes26c244$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.561,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No13c238.87$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.125042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes26c235.15$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.012,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes18c224$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.251,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No47c207.55$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0485220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1442268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.8wins+0.22per pick46cpaid+49.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes26c158.5$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.2923542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes65c157.49$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes27c151$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.276543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed No73c144.4$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.417554.7%41 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes7c143.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.6525625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Yes61c139.17$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Yes72c139.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1110250%51 W · 51 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes26c138.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.511,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes55c136.79$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.11,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe5…cf64backed No30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c131.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.491,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b76…4f2dbacked Yes8c125$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick17cpaid+525%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes26c120.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.2412741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x66a2…e49cbacked Yes26c115$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+140.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f4f…4d73backed Yes27c111.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No72c93.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.371,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes16c90.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.341330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes25c81.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.581,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes70c78.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5311657.8%67 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes26c73.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3513050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ce0…56f9backed Yes20c72.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.476100%6 W · 0 L+3.8wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+222%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No66c70.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4594848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…4fa8backed Yes30c67.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+237.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No25c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.558035%28 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes53c62.63$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.585641.1%23 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No36c59.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4471619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.125442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No73c54.51$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7920953.1%111 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No42c53.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3310160.4%61 W · 40 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0535…f195backed No73c47.46$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No61c46.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0710819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes30c42.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7635758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7753…cf56backed No45c40.89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.42528%7 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-39.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes44c40.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.651,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No43c39.2$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1737355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…764fbacked Yes28c39.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick57cpaid+62%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked No49c29.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.744566.7%30 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked No73c28.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.988655.8%48 W · 38 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Yes71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes71c26.69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7116842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb9…54b5backed Yes55c23.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bc7…88d6backed No74c22.65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed No52c22.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.744963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked No47c21.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed No77c21.34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.544656.5%26 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes54c21.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.818560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No76c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.164951%25 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.