TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,626 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes47c17,095$7,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,964.138530.6%26 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Yes77c15,121$11,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,701.5914443.1%62 W · 82 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c7,951$4,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,436.598,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No54c7,881$4,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,653.81,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9816543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c4,559$2,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,803.931,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No57c3,536$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.841758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No53c3,136$1,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.5437851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes46c3,122$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4504847.9%23 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No24c2,790$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,111.6821132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No42c2,443$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.32,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No55c2,433$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.461,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes49c2,203$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.972839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c2,192$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.53,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes62c2,153$1,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.6521251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes46c2,072$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.426543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No19c1,956$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,582.2449449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes77c1,871$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.6730841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No53c1,800$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84539853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c1,553$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No23c1,495$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.3510819.4%21 W · 87 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No53c1,126$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.066055%33 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked No26c1,100$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8141241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+46.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed No70c1,011$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.3977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No50c995.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.453141.9%13 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c967.86$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.781,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x300c…d650backed Yes47c851.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes77c749.92$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.5935758%207 W · 150 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No35c616.69$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.073,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No79c556.69$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.315042%21 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c542.47$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.41,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No53c509.72$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.651,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes46c471.74$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21746530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No53c471.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.430754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18411245.5%51 W · 61 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c356.99$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.431,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes75c355.4$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes12c350$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.286119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes46c336$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.975944.1%26 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb54…f517backed No11c321.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.91per pick9cpaid+1,082.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed No56c314.32$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011127%30 W · 81 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db2…ca52backed Yes48c312.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503023.3%7 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No54c302.96$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.021,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No53c268.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.032,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked No56c266.24$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4419144.5%85 W · 106 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc7…88d6backed Yes44c257.63$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3640%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No54c255.98$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+63.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No8c252.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.0822145.7%101 W · 120 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.517055.3%94 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed No80c229.01$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick75cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed No54c220.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.598246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c219.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.771,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d31…4bbebacked Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed No54c217$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.623542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1282…97f1backed Yes47c214.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf18…179abacked Yes49c209.84$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf69a…2f2dbacked Yes47c205.57$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a0b…f954backed No9c202.94$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.685100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+308.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes76c197.37$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501560%9 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf906…b98ebacked Yes71c188.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-27.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c173.28$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.371,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed No55c165.55$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.779454.3%51 W · 43 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd983…d92dbacked Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No55c146.88$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.113050.8%66 W · 64 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No54c144$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6321359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Yes48c143.01$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.015442.6%23 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Yes47c141.55$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.531631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes49c135.99$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No63c135.06$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9837355.2%206 W · 167 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed Yes30c133.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.92343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No20c121.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.997133.8%24 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No53c118.52$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.151,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d20…2391backed Yes45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505440.7%22 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes47c109.78$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.650746.7%237 W · 270 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed No10c106.67$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.578248.8%40 W · 42 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4751654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes47c97.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+95.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No55c91.92$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1227053%143 W · 127 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No55c90.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.99953.5%53 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes76c90.46$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6945746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No77c89$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6816842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce4d…ade4backed Yes41c87.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No53c87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5215459.1%91 W · 63 L-0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc33…ded5backed Yes46c82.61$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked No55c82.13$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.832050%10 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Yes14c80.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.221816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid+82.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed No24c79.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.052445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed No53c78.25$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.781681.3%13 W · 3 L+4.8wins+0.30per pick51cpaid+55.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes32c77.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6371619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4796…79fcbacked No51c76.07$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.574755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes33c75.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7628231.6%89 W · 193 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes63c75.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6112065%78 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes78c74.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.691,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No54c74.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.071560%9 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…f05dbacked Yes39c73.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.441855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked No55c72.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No52c72.32$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7121345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.