Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43a6f3a2c262a395cc5cc598300b501a2c001652d1fe0be0da4ad66303740c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,379 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 76c | 19,822$15,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,757.24 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 24c | 19,583$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 52c | 9,117$4,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,347.05 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 6,856$3,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.01 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 4,374$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 3,543$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.94 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 47c | 1,999$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.13 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 57c | 1,928$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.07 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 56c | 1,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 54c | 1,265$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.23 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…fd48backed Yes | 60c | 1,117$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes | 59c | 1,056$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.73 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd5…8afbbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 47c | 663.77$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.72 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 29c | 632.17$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.85 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Yes | 24c | 617.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…3224backed No | 16c | 600$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 79c | 588.19$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 51c | 587.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.76 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Yes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Yes | 57c | 527.7$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.7 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…8228backed Yes | 41c | 526.39$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…9967backed Yes | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 5c | 518.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 10c | 478.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 73c | 454.23$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.62 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5411…72c0backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 53c | 399.2$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.58 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 76c | 394.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab4…564fbacked Yes | 52c | 374.16$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 24c | 340.26$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 53c | 330.23$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.2 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 47c | 319.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 43c | 299.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 77c | 297.2$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 48c | 270.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 76c | 263.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada4…c344backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Yes | 51c | 259.71$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 25c | 257.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a0…75bdbacked Yes | 57c | 254.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 77c | 203.9$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 51c | 191$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.74 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 24c | 190.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 38c | 188.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 31c | 187.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 24c | 182.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 75c | 171.41$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…aa3fbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed No | 50c | 166.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…7f4abacked No | 57c | 164.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 23c | 164.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 65c | 162.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 77c | 162.39$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 52c | 159.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…a631backed Yes | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 149.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 33c | 145.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.87 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…00c2backed Yes | 63c | 142.23$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 77c | 141.78$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 39c | 135.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked No | 25c | 131$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 109.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed Yes | 56c | 105.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 40c | 104.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 55c | 100.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.18 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Yes | 60c | 94.35$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 57c | 92.93$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…c286backed Yes | 76c | 92.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 19c | 90.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ed…4e95backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Yes | 39c | 78.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 55c | 78.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0741…2951backed Yes | 43c | 70.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +195.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3173…db87backed Yes | 42c | 67.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de6…9b47backed Yes | 59c | 67.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Arouca win on 2026-03-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.