South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8975bff04d7a16016199391342998a6361ee84c823404b9ef041d858a2a577
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $357,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $357,950 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 51c | 135,418$68,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,554.02 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 49c | 96,427$47,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,177.76 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 51c | 39,476$20,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,070.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed No | 49c | 30,300$14,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,453 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,410$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 15,098$9,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,497.15 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 50c | 14,322$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,161 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed Yes | 46c | 10,832$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 10,232$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 51c | 10,218$5,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked No | 52c | 9,267$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,456.69 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed No | 49c | 8,938$4,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,558.28 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 8,023$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,423.52 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 51c | 7,074$3,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,607.93 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 4,578$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.56 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 4,325$2,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,186.18 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked No | 51c | 3,000$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 52c | 2,929$1,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.08 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed No | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…f823backed Yes | 40c | 2,033$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 52c | 1,848$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.38 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 1,729$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Yes | 51c | 1,689$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,687$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 58c | 1,656$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.14 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 1,645$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.44 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 24c | 1,322$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 1,215$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.76 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 51c | 1,167$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,129$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.5 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 1,077$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.05 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 48c | 912$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.24 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1667…4806backed Yes | 51c | 882.35$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 50c | 796$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed No | 77c | 732$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.98 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 615.95$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.88 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 530.57$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.95 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 40c | 509.6$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.08 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 50c | 500.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.01 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…a912backed No | 49c | 489$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed No | 49c | 487.76$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 29c | 449.51$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 37c | 438$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.11 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Yes | 49c | 426.32$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed6d…d729backed Yes | 39c | 413.34$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 13c | 404.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Yes | 51c | 397.69$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 51c | 378.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 366.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3b…2293backed No | 51c | 327.83$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 79c | 325.15$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.41 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7125…23eebacked No | 45c | 323.87$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed No | 47c | 304.62$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…2c8ebacked Yes | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 50c | 299.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.24 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 17c | 295.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…adafbacked No | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…53ebbacked No | 52c | 288.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.56 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 36c | 280.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 50c | 273.23$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed No | 50c | 260$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 51c | 255.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.22 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed No | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 41c | 244.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 51c | 241$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.91 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 237.27$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ea46backed Yes | 53c | 230.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 13c | 221.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 53c | 221$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 49c | 215.81$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 16c | 206.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc2…8c9abacked Yes | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 49c | 199$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…6ba9backed No | 50c | 184$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 48c | 182$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bb…50ddbacked No | 50c | 182$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Yes | 75c | 180.6$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 59cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.