South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53cadaf0c1e1df36c38bbb38a314a30145b8db3787e89bcd589e19e0f3d595ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,733
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $176,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,733 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 44c | 30,000$13,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,744.48 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 46c | 13,603$6,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,371.24 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 53c | 6,205$3,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,276.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 5,974$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 4,934$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.16 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 54c | 1,817$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.36 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 34c | 1,733$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 61c | 1,717$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.22 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 10c | 1,352$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.73 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 1,244$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,163$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.25 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 1,114$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.64 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Yes | 21c | 1,109$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.67 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 78c | 1,090$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.72 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 1,021$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.18 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 48c | 926.39$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 58c | 891.5$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.01 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 753.01$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.67 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed No | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 625.51$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 529.85$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 7c | 452.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 43c | 446.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.39 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 46c | 435.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.43 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 54c | 374.4$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 359$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 348.72$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.49 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 322.41$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…7eadbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 23c | 295.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 32c | 263.16$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 78c | 258.03$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 33c | 239.23$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.44 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 21c | 231$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 50c | 229.52$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 77c | 215.97$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 55c | 208.27$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 70c | 204.47$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.6 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94c…ba65backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 8c | 191$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 23c | 187$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 54c | 182.71$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45c4…ed67backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 34c | 171.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.23 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Yes | 29c | 169.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5323backed Yes | 60c | 165.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 77c | 163.06$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087f…2ebfbacked No | 60c | 157.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…e185backed Yes | 11c | 152.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe791…cbc0backed No | 42c | 132.57$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Yes | 76c | 131.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed No | 80c | 122.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 59c | 119.79$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 21c | 116.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 23c | 112.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.74 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 12c | 110.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Yes | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 16c | 100.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd98…6c49backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 98.82$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 52c | 89$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…78debacked No | 60c | 87.71$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 12c | 86.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 232 | 54.7%127 W · 105 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 41c | 85.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x106e…28e5backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe822…f89fbacked No | 78c | 74.12$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 63c | 71.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked No | 47c | 71.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 53c | 67.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 78c | 66.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 65.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1e…4086backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 41c | 64.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3d…6542backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc068…113dbacked Yes | 22c | 63.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Yes | 75c | 61.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…f943backed No | 50c | 61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Yes | 48c | 58.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 42c | 57.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…7894backed Yes | 23c | 57.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Yes | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 54c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 54.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Yes | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa689…09b3backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…9e46backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…995ebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.