South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7fdd5b48a662242c3d33d1391260339baa575ef7f2705d2832ff99e4457a7dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,653 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 15,562$10,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,534.72 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 30c | 10,601$3,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,427.89 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 40c | 6,407$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.64 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 4,830$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,396.95 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 4,345$3,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 44c | 4,111$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 2,651$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 2,386$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.84 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 28c | 1,786$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.71 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 29c | 1,688$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.39 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 32c | 1,179$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.12 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,165$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 28c | 739.88$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 436.51$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.18 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 31c | 414.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.04 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…7078backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 384.47$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.7 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…82dcbacked Yes | 29c | 316.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…b6e0backed No | 71c | 316.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f38…c97cbacked Yes | 29c | 316.9$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…f8edbacked No | 71c | 316.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 73c | 270.75$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 43c | 270.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.86 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 263.73$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.62 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 51c | 263.16$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes | 39c | 257.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed No | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 70c | 249.35$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.82 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 71c | 211.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 208.26$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 72c | 205.19$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.74 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 19c | 189.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…3f2ebacked Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.82 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 33c | 179.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.32 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 69c | 142.24$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 37c | 133.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 133.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.7 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…090fbacked Yes | 69c | 130.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 130.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 33c | 129.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…24f0backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 27c | 105$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc735…b72abacked Yes | 25c | 101.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.13 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 25c | 101.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…27d5backed Yes | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 60 | 20%12 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Yes | 65c | 82.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 63c | 77.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Yes | 36c | 75.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08f…ea46backed Yes | 51c | 72.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 47c | 72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked No | 28c | 69.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 73c | 66.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 46c | 66.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c26…1694backed Yes | 33c | 61.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 58.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73b…c3e9backed No | 55c | 56.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 56.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…5bddbacked No | 54c | 53.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f9…e1b8backed Yes | 34c | 51.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.09 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 71c | 50.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd3…bd7fbacked No | 72c | 49.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 74c | 47.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 29c | 46.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Yes | 23c | 45.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 25c | 40.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 54c | 40.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 26c | 38.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 51c | 37.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 36c | 37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…2466backed Yes | 42c | 35.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…988dbacked No | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…0f05backed No | 63c | 27.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 71c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 84.1%37 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 19.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 54c | 18.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Yes | 64c | 17.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 17.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…9230backed No | 76c | 14.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 80c | 14.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-15?No won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.